Zhenys
vs
Atyrau
1 – 2 Full time
| 32′ | B. Madelkhan | ||
| 40′ | D. Maksimovic | ||
| 45′ | D. Maksimovic | ||
| 46′ | V. NaumetsM. Khaseyn | ||
| 46′ | M. BystrovA. Saulet | ||
| 59′ | M. Khaseyn | ||
| 59′ | B. MadelkhanP. Kpozo | ||
| 60′ | M. AskarovI. Kuat | ||
| 65′ | A. BoranshievY. Trufanov | ||
| 68′ | M. Khaseyn | ||
| 68′ | M. Khaseyn | ||
| 74′ | D. PantelicK. Dorofeev | ||
| 76′ | AdilioR. Isaev | ||
| 79′ | A. Filipovic | ||
| 84′ | G. Martins | ||
| 88′ | E. Khvalko | ||
| 90′ | E. Khatkevich | ||
| 90′ | M. Rabiu |
Zhenys vs Atyrau overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Zhenys vs Atyrau
| Probability | Zhenys | Draw | Atyrau |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.0% | 26.9% | 16.1% |
| Market | 50.6% | 26.9% | 22.5% |
| Final | 52.2% | 26.9% | 20.9% |
| Edge | +1.6% | -0.0% | -1.6% |
Why Zhenys
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.62 vs 0.76.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Zhenys and Atyrau expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.38
Zhenys and Atyrau attack and defence ratings
Zhenys
Atyrau
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Zhenys vs Atyrau: result vs prediction
Zhenys 1 – 2 Atyrau
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
Before and after this match
Zhenys vs Atyrau markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zhenys | 52.2% | 1.92 | +1.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.1% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.2% | 2.31 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zhenys | 52.2% |
| Draw | 26.9% | |
| Atyrau | 20.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.8% |
| No | 56.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Zhenys win | 31.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.2% | |
| Loss | 43.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 13.9% |
| 1-1 | 12.5% | |
| 2-0 | 12.2% |
Zhenys vs Atyrau stats
Zhenys and Atyrau recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Zhenys and Atyrau going into this match
Zhenys record
- They have won 8 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 26 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Atyrau record
- They have won 4 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 25 matches.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Zhenys vs Atyrau head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-20 | Atyrau | Zhenys | Kazakhstan Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Atyrau | Zhenys | Kazakhstan Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2025-06-21 | Zhenys | Atyrau | Kazakhstan Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2024-09-21 | Atyrau | Zhenys | Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2024-06-02 | Zhenys | Atyrau | Premier League | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Zhenys vs Atyrau odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.6%, draw 26.9%, away 22.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.80 | 3.55 | 4.42 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.40 | 3.90 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 3.30 | 4.33 |
| Dafabet | 1.86 | 3.35 | 3.75 |
| Marathonbet | 1.71 | 3.38 | 4.20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.80 | 3.45 | 3.85 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .