FK Tobol Kostanay
vs
Zhenys
Garuda Lions Prediction: FK Tobol Kostanay
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
FK Tobol Kostanay vs Zhenys overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FK Tobol Kostanay vs Zhenys
| Probability | FK Tobol Kostanay | Draw | Zhenys |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.8% | 26.2% | 23.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 50.8% | 26.2% | 23.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why FK Tobol Kostanay
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.71 vs 1.09.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.25, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
FK Tobol Kostanay vs Zhenys match preview
FK Tobol Kostanay faces Zhenys in the Kazakhstan Premier League, with the model indicating a 51% probability of a home victory. The expected goals suggest FK Tobol Kostanay will score approximately 1.71, while Zhenys is projected to net around 1.09. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, occurring with a 10% probability.
Recent form shows FK Tobol Kostanay with a mixed record of L-W-W-L-W-W, while Zhenys has a similar pattern of L-W-L-L-W-W. In their last three encounters, FK Tobol Kostanay has not secured a win, recording two draws and one loss against Zhenys. With a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% likelihood of both teams scoring, the match promises to be competitive.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FK Tobol Kostanay and Zhenys expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.80
FK Tobol Kostanay and Zhenys attack and defence ratings
FK Tobol Kostanay
Zhenys
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 23 fixtures
Before and after this match
FK Tobol Kostanay vs Zhenys markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FK Tobol Kostanay | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | 2.25 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FK Tobol Kostanay | 50.8% |
| Draw | 26.2% | |
| Zhenys | 23.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.5% |
| No | 44.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | FK Tobol Kostanay win | 28.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.5% | |
| Loss | 49.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.5% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 1-0 | 9.3% |
FK Tobol Kostanay vs Zhenys stats
FK Tobol Kostanay and Zhenys recent form
| FK Tobol Kostanay |
LWWLWW |
| Zhenys |
LWLLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FK Tobol Kostanay and Zhenys season so far
FK Tobol Kostanay record
- They have won 10 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 26 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Zhenys record
- They have won 8 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 26 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
FK Tobol Kostanay vs Zhenys head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Zhenys | FK Tobol Kostanay | Kazakhstan Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2025-06-29 | FK Tobol Kostanay | Zhenys | Kazakhstan Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2025-03-08 | Zhenys | FK Tobol Kostanay | Kazakhstan Premier League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FK Tobol Kostanay vs Zhenys odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 45.9%, draw 28.5%, away 25.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.95 | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| 1xBet | 2.25 | 2.81 | 3.81 |
| Betano | 2.00 | 3.20 | 3.55 |
| Dafabet | 1.98 | 3.20 | 3.55 |
| Superbet | 2.02 | 3.20 | 3.55 |
| Unibet | 1.82 | 3.15 | 3.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .