Kazakhstan Premier League
·
Full time
·Matchday 23
Altay
vs
Atyrau
1 – 1 Full time
| 33′ | I. Dadaev | ||
| 42′ | B. Shaykhov | ||
| 46′ | A. SeytkalievA. Boranshiev | ||
| 46′ | B. ShaykhovK. Kalmuratov | ||
| 70′ | M. StanicK. Dorofeev | ||
| 71′ | D. StoisavljevicE. Lobzhanidze | ||
| 71′ | I. DadaevS. Popov | ||
| 76′ | D. Pantelic | ||
| 76′ | Z. Kukeev | ||
| 78′ | S. Popov | ||
| 79′ | Z. KukeevN. Jambor | ||
| 80′ | S. Popov | ||
| 80′ | S. Popov | ||
| 84′ | E. OforiHenrique | ||
| 90′ | N. Micevic |
Altay
52%
Draw
25%
Atyrau
23%
Altay vs Atyrau overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Altay vs Atyrau
| Probability | Altay | Draw | Atyrau |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.1% | 25.4% | 22.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 52.1% | 25.4% | 22.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Altay
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.80 vs 1.12.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
80%
3+ goals
56%
No goals
7%
Altay and Atyrau expected goals
Altay
1.80
Atyrau
1.12
Total expected goals: 2.92
Altay and Atyrau attack and defence ratings
Altay
Attack
1.03 +3%
Defence
1.30 +30%
Atyrau
Attack
0.75 -25%
Defence
1.18 +18%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Altay vs Atyrau: result vs prediction
Altay 1 – 1 Atyrau
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 23 fixtures
Before and after this match
Altay vs Atyrau markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Altay | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.3% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.9% | 2.09 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Altay | 52.1% |
| Draw | 25.4% | |
| Atyrau | 22.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.3% |
| No | 42.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Altay win | 29.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.3% | |
| Loss | 47.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.8% | |
| 2-0 | 8.7% |
Altay vs Atyrau stats
Altay and Atyrau recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Altay and Atyrau going into this match
Altay record
- They have won 5 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 27 matches.
Atyrau record
- They have won 5 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 27 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Altay vs Atyrau head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
0Altay wins
1Draws
1Atyrau wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Atyrau | Altay | Kazakhstan Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2019-05-08 | Altay | Atyrau | Cup | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.