Altay
vs
Yelimay Semey
Garuda Lions Prediction: Altay
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Altay vs Yelimay Semey overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Altay vs Yelimay Semey
| Probability | Altay | Draw | Yelimay Semey |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.8% | 25.8% | 33.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 40.8% | 25.8% | 33.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Altay vs Yelimay Semey match preview
Altay faces Yelimay Semey in the Kazakhstan Premier League, with our model giving Altay a 41% chance of winning, while Yelimay Semey has a 33% probability. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-1 in favor of Altay, occurring with a 9% likelihood. The expectation for over 2.5 goals stands at 60%, and both teams scoring is predicted at 63%.
In terms of recent form, Altay has recorded a sequence of D-L-L-W-W-L, while Yelimay Semey shows a pattern of W-W-L-W-W-L. The expected goals for Altay are 1.65, compared to Yelimay Semey's 1.48. The head-to-head record indicates that in their last encounter, there was 1 draw, with neither team securing a win. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Altay and Yelimay Semey expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.13
Altay and Yelimay Semey attack and defence ratings
Altay
Yelimay Semey
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
Before and after this match
Altay vs Yelimay Semey markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Altay | 40.8% | 2.45 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.4% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Altay | 40.8% |
| Draw | 25.8% | |
| Yelimay Semey | 33.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.4% |
| No | 36.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Altay win | 21.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.4% | |
| Loss | 59.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.8% |
| 2-1 | 8.8% | |
| 1-2 | 7.9% |
Altay vs Yelimay Semey stats
Altay and Yelimay Semey recent form
| Altay |
DLLWWL |
| Yelimay Semey |
WWLWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Altay and Yelimay Semey season so far
Altay record
- They have won 5 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 28 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Yelimay Semey record
- They have won 12 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Altay vs Yelimay Semey head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-16 | Yelimay Semey | Altay | Kazakhstan Premier League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.