Yelimay Semey
vs
Ulytau
2 – 1 Full time
| 22′ | S. Tanasijevic | ||
| 32′ | R. Murillo | ||
| 46′ | B. DaniyarovI. Chernyak | ||
| 46′ | H. HaradaR. Serikkul | ||
| 49′ | China | ||
| 63′ | A. BakhtiyarovZ. Payruz | ||
| 63′ | ChinaH. Ilic | ||
| 63′ | A. ZhaksylykovF. Placca | ||
| 73′ | A. BougnoneA. Taubay | ||
| 74′ | R. MurilloR. Murtazaev | ||
| 79′ | D. Carmona SierraD. Maulenov | ||
| 83′ | S. Tanasijevic | ||
| 83′ | S. Tanasijevic | ||
| 89′ | B. VachiberadzeA. Smith | ||
| 90′ | R. OrazovM. Belancic | ||
| 90′ | A. Tulubay | ||
| 90′ | G. Bukhal |
Yelimay Semey vs Ulytau overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Yelimay Semey vs Ulytau
| Probability | Yelimay Semey | Draw | Ulytau |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.2% | 26.9% | 26.0% |
| Market | 57.1% | 24.5% | 18.5% |
| Final | 54.6% | 25.1% | 20.3% |
| Edge | -2.5% | +0.6% | +1.9% |
Why Yelimay Semey
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.63 vs 1.16.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Yelimay Semey and Ulytau expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.79
Yelimay Semey and Ulytau attack and defence ratings
Yelimay Semey
Ulytau
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Yelimay Semey vs Ulytau: result vs prediction
Yelimay Semey 2 – 1 Ulytau
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 23 fixtures
Before and after this match
Yelimay Semey vs Ulytau markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Yelimay Semey | 54.6% | 1.83 | -2.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.7% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Yelimay Semey | 54.6% |
| Draw | 25.1% | |
| Ulytau | 20.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.4% |
| No | 43.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Yelimay Semey win | 25.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.8% | |
| Loss | 52.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.8% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 1-0 | 8.8% |
Yelimay Semey vs Ulytau stats
Yelimay Semey and Ulytau recent form
| Yelimay Semey |
WLWWLL |
| Ulytau |
WDLLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Yelimay Semey and Ulytau going into this match
Yelimay Semey record
- They have won 11 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ulytau record
- They have won 9 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 27 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Yelimay Semey vs Ulytau head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Ulytau | Yelimay Semey | Kazakhstan Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2025-07-12 | Ulytau | Yelimay Semey | Kazakhstan Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2025-04-12 | Ulytau | Yelimay Semey | Cup | 0-3 |
| 2025-04-06 | Yelimay Semey | Ulytau | Kazakhstan Premier League | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Yelimay Semey vs Ulytau odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 53.2%, draw 25.5%, away 21.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.62 | 3.91 | 5.25 |
| Bet365 | 1.60 | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| Betano | 1.78 | 3.45 | 4.20 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 3.50 | 4.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.74 | 3.45 | 4.10 |
| Marathonbet | 1.54 | 3.72 | 5.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.57 | 3.73 | 4.94 |
| Superbet | 1.85 | 3.40 | 3.85 |
| Unibet | 1.79 | 3.35 | 3.60 |
| William Hill | 1.60 | 3.50 | 4.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .