Yelimay Semey
vs
Ulytau
Garuda Lions Prediction: Yelimay Semey
1 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Yelimay Semey vs Ulytau overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Yelimay Semey vs Ulytau
| Probability | Yelimay Semey | Draw | Ulytau |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.9% | 26.0% | 21.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 52.9% | 26.0% | 21.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Yelimay Semey
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.73 vs 1.02.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.88, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Yelimay Semey vs Ulytau match preview
Yelimay Semey hosts Ulytau in a Kazakhstan Premier League clash, with Yelimay Semey holding a 53% probability of winning compared to Ulytau's 21%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0, occurring at a rate of 10%. Both teams have shown a tendency to score, with a 54% chance of both finding the net and a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals in the match.
Recent form indicates Yelimay Semey has been more consistent, with two wins in their last three matches, while Ulytau has struggled, recording only one win in their last five outings. In their last three head-to-head encounters, the teams are evenly matched with one win each and one draw, suggesting a competitive fixture ahead.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Yelimay Semey and Ulytau expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.75
Yelimay Semey and Ulytau attack and defence ratings
Yelimay Semey
Ulytau
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 23 fixtures
Before and after this match
Yelimay Semey vs Ulytau markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Yelimay Semey | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | 1.88 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.1% | 2.12 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Yelimay Semey | 52.9% |
| Draw | 26.0% | |
| Ulytau | 21.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.8% |
| No | 46.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Yelimay Semey win | 29.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.0% | |
| Loss | 47.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.4% |
| 1-0 | 9.9% | |
| 2-1 | 9.8% |
Yelimay Semey vs Ulytau stats
Yelimay Semey and Ulytau recent form
| Yelimay Semey |
WWLLDW |
| Ulytau |
DLLWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Yelimay Semey and Ulytau season so far
Yelimay Semey record
- They have won 10 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ulytau record
- They have won 8 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 25 matches.
Yelimay Semey vs Ulytau head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Ulytau | Yelimay Semey | Kazakhstan Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2025-07-12 | Ulytau | Yelimay Semey | Kazakhstan Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2025-04-06 | Yelimay Semey | Ulytau | Kazakhstan Premier League | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Yelimay Semey vs Ulytau odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.5%, draw 27.0%, away 23.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.88 | 3.32 | 4.32 |
| Betano | 1.85 | 3.40 | 3.90 |
| Dafabet | 1.83 | 3.40 | 3.90 |
| Superbet | 1.85 | 3.40 | 3.85 |
| Unibet | 1.79 | 3.35 | 3.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .