Aktobe
vs
Ordabasy
1 – 3 Full time
| 21′ | D. Sosah | ||
| 37′ | A. Tanzharikov | ||
| 45′ | B. Kairov | ||
| 45′ | A. Shushenachev | ||
| 47′ | Leo Natel | ||
| 53′ | S. Maliy | ||
| 56′ | G. Kilama | ||
| 60′ | A. TanzharikovPibe | ||
| 63′ | EvertonT. Keita | ||
| 63′ | Leo NatelE. Astanov | ||
| 69′ | G. KilamaU. Zhaksybaev | ||
| 77′ | S. MiangueG. Zhukov | ||
| 77′ | A. ShushenachevNani | ||
| 77′ | T. Keita | ||
| 79′ | M. CapatinaA. Nurymbet | ||
| 87′ | D. Sosah | ||
| 90′ | D. Abagna |
Aktobe vs Ordabasy overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Aktobe vs Ordabasy
| Probability | Aktobe | Draw | Ordabasy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24.7% | 24.7% | 50.6% |
| Market | 27.3% | 26.5% | 46.2% |
| Final | 26.7% | 26.0% | 47.3% |
| Edge | -0.6% | -0.5% | +1.1% |
Why Ordabasy
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.86 vs 1.26.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Aktobe and Ordabasy expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.12
Aktobe and Ordabasy attack and defence ratings
Aktobe
Ordabasy
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Aktobe vs Ordabasy: result vs prediction
Aktobe 1 – 3 Ordabasy
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 23 fixtures
Before and after this match
Aktobe vs Ordabasy markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ordabasy | 47.3% | 2.11 | +1.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.6% | 2.02 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aktobe | 26.7% |
| Draw | 26.0% | |
| Ordabasy | 47.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.6% |
| No | 38.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 52.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 73.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ordabasy win | 29.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.4% | |
| Loss | 49.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.3% |
| 1-2 | 9.6% | |
| 0-2 | 7.6% |
Aktobe vs Ordabasy stats
Aktobe and Ordabasy recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Aktobe and Ordabasy going into this match
Aktobe record
- They have won 13 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 27 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ordabasy record
- They have won 20 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 7 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Aktobe vs Ordabasy head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Ordabasy | Aktobe | Kazakhstan Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2025-10-26 | Aktobe | Ordabasy | Kazakhstan Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2025-03-01 | Ordabasy | Aktobe | Kazakhstan Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2024-08-25 | Ordabasy | Aktobe | Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2024-05-18 | Aktobe | Ordabasy | Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2024-05-08 | Ordabasy | Aktobe | Cup | 1-2 |
| 2023-09-16 | Aktobe | Ordabasy | Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2023-04-09 | Ordabasy | Aktobe | Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2022-10-29 | Ordabasy | Aktobe | Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2022-08-21 | Aktobe | Ordabasy | Premier League | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Aktobe vs Ordabasy odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 28.6%, draw 27.3%, away 44.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.46 | 3.57 | 2.02 |
| Bet365 | 3.10 | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| Betano | 3.10 | 3.25 | 2.18 |
| Betfair | 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.20 |
| Dafabet | 3.05 | 3.20 | 2.18 |
| Marathonbet | 3.30 | 3.40 | 1.92 |
| Pinnacle | 3.38 | 3.45 | 1.92 |
| Superbet | 3.20 | 3.30 | 2.12 |
| Unibet | 3.05 | 3.10 | 2.06 |
| William Hill | 3.30 | 3.30 | 1.95 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .