Zhetysu
vs
Kaisar
Garuda Lions Prediction: Kaisar
0 – 1 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Zhetysu vs Kaisar overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Zhetysu vs Kaisar
| Probability | Zhetysu | Draw | Kaisar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.2% | 30.5% | 41.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 28.2% | 30.5% | 41.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Best available price on the pick: 3.05, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Zhetysu vs Kaisar match preview
Zhetysu will face Kaisar in the Kazakhstan Premier League, with kickoff scheduled for October 17, 2026. The model probabilities indicate a competitive match, with Kaisar holding a 41% chance of victory compared to Zhetysu's 28% and a 31% likelihood of a draw. The most probable scoreline is 0-1, occurring at an 11% chance.
Recent form shows Zhetysu struggling with six consecutive matches without a win, while Kaisar has managed one win in their last six games. The expected goals suggest a slight edge for Kaisar, with 1.29 expected compared to Zhetysu's 1.03. Additionally, there is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance that both teams will score. The head-to-head record shows no wins for either team in their last three encounters, with three draws.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Zhetysu and Kaisar expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.32
Zhetysu and Kaisar attack and defence ratings
Zhetysu
Kaisar
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 23 fixtures
Before and after this match
Zhetysu vs Kaisar markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kaisar | 41.2% | 2.42 | — | 3.05 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zhetysu | 28.2% |
| Draw | 30.5% | |
| Kaisar | 41.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.9% |
| No | 52.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 71.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kaisar win | 19.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.9% | |
| Loss | 58.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 0-1 | 11.4% | |
| 0-0 | 11.1% |
Zhetysu vs Kaisar stats
Zhetysu and Kaisar recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Zhetysu and Kaisar season so far
Zhetysu record
- They have won 5 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 26 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kaisar record
- They have won 4 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 25 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Zhetysu vs Kaisar head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Kaisar | Zhetysu | Kazakhstan Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-16 | Zhetysu | Kaisar | Kazakhstan Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-31 | Kaisar | Zhetysu | Kazakhstan Premier League | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Zhetysu vs Kaisar odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.2%, draw 29.4%, away 30.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.66 | 3.01 | 2.81 |
| Betano | 2.27 | 3.15 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.24 | 3.10 | 3.00 |
| Superbet | 2.27 | 3.10 | 3.05 |
| Unibet | 2.10 | 3.05 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .