Kazakhstan Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 23

Zhetysu vs Kaisar

2 – 1 Full time

11′V. Moses
19′D. Luna
40′N. Cuckic
46′M. ZhakipbayevT. Mosiashvili
58′N. ZhaksylykAgostinho
58′N. AgzambaevA. Mukhammed
67′A. AdakhadzievN. Nurbol
71′S. Abzalov
73′N. Nurbol
74′A. KenesbekB. Tazhibay
76′N. Nurbol
80′V. MosesE. Kaldybekov
80′S. AskarovR. Bagdat
85′N. AnuarbekovS. Anuarbek
90′S. MuzhikovV. Shvyrev
90′T. Mosiashvili

Referee: R. Omarov

Zhetysu 36%
Draw 30%
Kaisar 34%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Zhetysu vs Kaisar overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Zhetysu vs Kaisar

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityZhetysuDrawKaisar
Model31.1%30.6%38.3%
Market37.0%29.8%33.2%
Final35.5%30.0%34.5%
Edge-1.5%+0.2%+1.3%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Zhetysu ↓ / Kaisar → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 11% 7% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 69%
3+ goals 42%
No goals 11%

Zhetysu and Kaisar expected goals

Zhetysu 1.10
Kaisar 1.24

Total expected goals: 2.34

Zhetysu and Kaisar attack and defence ratings

Zhetysu

Attack 0.60 -40%
Defence 1.29 +29%

Kaisar

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 1.25 +25%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Zhetysu vs Kaisar: result vs prediction

Zhetysu 2 – 1 Kaisar

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 23 fixtures

Kazakhstan Premier League

Before and after this match

Zhetysu vs Kaisar markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Zhetysu 35.5% 2.82 -1.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 58.5% 1.71 — —
Both teams to score No 51.3% 1.95 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 70.0% 1.43 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 68.9% 1.45 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Zhetysu35.5%
Draw30.0%
Kaisar34.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.541.5%
Under 2.558.5%
Both teams to scoreYes48.7%
No51.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)65.5%
12 (either side)70.0%
X2 (draw or away)64.5%
Handicap -1Zhetysu win12.8%
Push (exactly one goal)18.3%
Loss68.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.4%
0-010.9%
0-110.7%

Zhetysu vs Kaisar stats

Zhetysu and Kaisar recent form

newest first
Zhetysu LLLWLL
Kaisar LDWLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Zhetysu and Kaisar going into this match

league record before kick-off

Zhetysu record

  • They have won 5 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 27 matches.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Kaisar record

  • They have won 4 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 10 of 27 matches.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Zhetysu vs Kaisar head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Zhetysu wins 6Draws 2Kaisar wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-02KaisarZhetysuKazakhstan Premier League1-1
2025-09-16ZhetysuKaisarKazakhstan Premier League1-1
2025-05-31KaisarZhetysuKazakhstan Premier League2-2
2024-08-24KaisarZhetysuPremier League0-0
2024-06-22ZhetysuKaisarPremier League1-2
2023-08-26KaisarZhetysuPremier League1-1
2023-04-15ZhetysuKaisarPremier League0-2
2022-10-28KaisarZhetysu1. Division0-0
2022-07-12ZhetysuKaisar1. Division2-1
2021-10-24KaisarZhetysuPremier League0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Zhetysu vs Kaisar odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 37.6%, draw 29.8%, away 32.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.52 3.20 2.82
Bet365 2.30 3.10 2.80
Betano 2.47 3.05 2.77
Betfair 2.40 3.20 2.75
Dafabet 2.44 3.00 2.80
Marathonbet 2.40 3.04 2.68
Pinnacle 2.46 3.01 2.73
Superbet 2.27 3.10 3.05
Unibet 2.10 3.05 3.00
William Hill 2.45 2.90 2.70

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.45 ▲ +0.18
X 3.04 ▼ -0.06
2 2.73 ▼ -0.27

12 snapshots recorded, from .