Kaisar
vs
Ordabasy
1 – 4 Full time
| 15′ | B. Johnsen | ||
| 25′ | U. Zhaksybaev | ||
| 32′ | N. Antic | ||
| 33′ | B. Johnsen | ||
| 45′ | Klaidher | ||
| 46′ | B. KonlimkosR. Bagdat | ||
| 53′ | D. Abagna | ||
| 58′ | B. TazhibayAgostinho | ||
| 58′ | N. CuckicE. Kaldybekov | ||
| 60′ | A. Kenesbek | ||
| 61′ | Leo NatelZ. Amir | ||
| 61′ | EvertonE. Astanov | ||
| 61′ | T. KeitaM. Capatina | ||
| 72′ | B. Johnsen | ||
| 77′ | N. ZhaksylykGustavo Zago | ||
| 77′ | V. MosesA. Mukhammed | ||
| 78′ | B. JohnsenM. Toktybay | ||
| 78′ | U. ZhaksybaevA. Nurymbet |
Kaisar vs Ordabasy overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kaisar vs Ordabasy
| Probability | Kaisar | Draw | Ordabasy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 15.0% | 25.1% | 59.9% |
| Market | 16.7% | 22.6% | 60.7% |
| Final | 16.3% | 23.2% | 60.5% |
| Edge | -0.4% | +0.6% | -0.2% |
Why Ordabasy
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.76 vs 0.78.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kaisar and Ordabasy expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.54
Kaisar and Ordabasy attack and defence ratings
Kaisar
Ordabasy
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Kaisar vs Ordabasy: result vs prediction
Kaisar 1 – 4 Ordabasy
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kaisar vs Ordabasy markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ordabasy | 60.5% | 1.65 | -0.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 83.7% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 40.3% | 2.48 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kaisar | 16.3% |
| Draw | 23.2% | |
| Ordabasy | 60.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.9% |
| No | 54.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 39.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 83.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ordabasy win | 34.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.8% | |
| Loss | 40.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 12.8% |
| 0-2 | 12.3% | |
| 1-1 | 11.9% |
Kaisar vs Ordabasy stats
Kaisar and Ordabasy recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kaisar and Ordabasy going into this match
Kaisar record
- They have won 4 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 26 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ordabasy record
- They have won 19 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 7 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kaisar vs Ordabasy head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-20 | Ordabasy | Kaisar | Kazakhstan Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2025-08-10 | Kaisar | Ordabasy | Kazakhstan Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-11 | Ordabasy | Kaisar | Kazakhstan Premier League | 5-0 |
| 2024-08-31 | Kaisar | Ordabasy | Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2024-06-29 | Ordabasy | Kaisar | Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2023-08-13 | Kaisar | Ordabasy | Premier League | 2-3 |
| 2023-05-06 | Ordabasy | Kaisar | Premier League | 4-0 |
| 2022-08-31 | Kaisar | Ordabasy | Cup | 1-1 |
| 2021-07-03 | Kaisar | Ordabasy | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2021-04-24 | Ordabasy | Kaisar | Premier League | 4-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Kaisar vs Ordabasy odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 16.7%, draw 22.6%, away 60.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.78 | 4.18 | 1.53 |
| Bet365 | 5.00 | 3.90 | 1.50 |
| Betano | 5.40 | 4.15 | 1.50 |
| Betfair | 5.50 | 4.00 | 1.44 |
| Dafabet | 5.40 | 4.10 | 1.49 |
| Marathonbet | 5.50 | 3.98 | 1.46 |
| Pinnacle | 5.34 | 4.05 | 1.49 |
| SBO | 5.22 | 3.73 | 1.45 |
| William Hill | 5.00 | 3.80 | 1.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
15 snapshots recorded, from .