Kaisar
vs
Ordabasy
Garuda Lions Prediction: Ordabasy
0 – 1 Predicted score · 13% model probability
Kaisar vs Ordabasy overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kaisar vs Ordabasy
| Probability | Kaisar | Draw | Ordabasy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 15.2% | 25.3% | 59.6% |
| Market | 15.8% | 20.9% | 63.4% |
| Final | 15.6% | 22.0% | 62.4% |
| Edge | -0.6% | +4.4% | -3.8% |
Why Ordabasy
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.76 vs 0.78.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.50, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Kaisar vs Ordabasy match preview
Kaisar faces Ordabasy in the Kazakhstan Premier League with a challenging outlook. Kaisar's recent form shows a draw followed by four consecutive losses, while Ordabasy has been in strong form, winning six of their last seven matches. The model assigns a 15% probability of a Kaisar victory, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 64% likelihood that Ordabasy will win. The expected goals suggest Kaisar will struggle offensively with an expected tally of 0.78, compared to Ordabasy's 1.76.
In their last three encounters, Kaisar has not secured a win, recording two losses and one draw against Ordabasy. The most likely scoreline for this match is 0-1, occurring with a 13% probability. Additionally, there is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored and a 46% probability that both teams will find the net.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kaisar and Ordabasy expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.54
Kaisar and Ordabasy attack and defence ratings
Kaisar
Ordabasy
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kaisar vs Ordabasy markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ordabasy | 62.4% | 1.60 | -3.8% | 1.50 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 84.4% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 40.4% | 2.47 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kaisar | 15.6% |
| Draw | 22.0% | |
| Ordabasy | 62.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.9% |
| No | 54.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 37.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 84.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ordabasy win | 34.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.8% | |
| Loss | 40.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 12.8% |
| 0-2 | 12.2% | |
| 1-1 | 11.9% |
Kaisar vs Ordabasy stats
Kaisar and Ordabasy recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kaisar and Ordabasy season so far
Kaisar record
- They have won 4 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 25 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ordabasy record
- They have won 18 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 7 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kaisar vs Ordabasy head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-20 | Ordabasy | Kaisar | Kazakhstan Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2025-08-10 | Kaisar | Ordabasy | Kazakhstan Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-11 | Ordabasy | Kaisar | Kazakhstan Premier League | 5-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Kaisar vs Ordabasy odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 15.8%, draw 20.9%, away 63.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.83 | 4.93 | 1.45 |
| Betfair | 6.50 | 4.40 | 1.36 |
| Dafabet | 5.20 | 4.00 | 1.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .