Atyrau
vs
Ordabasy
0 – 3 Full time
| 20′ | B. Johnsen | ||
| 40′ | Y. Tkachenko | ||
| 46′ | T. KeitaM. Capatina | ||
| 50′ | S. Satanov | ||
| 54′ | B. Johnsen | ||
| 62′ | M. StanicK. Dorofeev | ||
| 62′ | A. BoranshievHenrique | ||
| 63′ | Y. TkachenkoD. Pantelic | ||
| 65′ | Leo NatelE. Astanov | ||
| 77′ | Z. AmirEverton | ||
| 83′ | S. AstanovA. Nurymbet | ||
| 90′ | B. Johnsen |
Atyrau vs Ordabasy overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Atyrau vs Ordabasy
| Probability | Atyrau | Draw | Ordabasy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 14.1% | 25.8% | 60.2% |
| Market | 14.6% | 23.1% | 62.3% |
| Final | 14.5% | 23.8% | 61.7% |
| Edge | -0.6% | +2.6% | -2.1% |
Why Ordabasy
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.70 vs 0.70.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Atyrau and Ordabasy expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.40
Atyrau and Ordabasy attack and defence ratings
Atyrau
Ordabasy
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Atyrau vs Ordabasy: result vs prediction
Atyrau 0 – 3 Ordabasy
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 27 fixtures
Before and after this match
Atyrau vs Ordabasy markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ordabasy | 61.7% | 1.62 | -2.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 85.5% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 39.7% | 2.52 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atyrau | 14.5% |
| Draw | 23.8% | |
| Ordabasy | 61.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.3% |
| No | 57.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 38.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 85.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ordabasy win | 34.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.5% | |
| Loss | 39.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 14.3% |
| 0-2 | 13.1% | |
| 1-1 | 11.9% |
Atyrau vs Ordabasy stats
Atyrau and Ordabasy recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Atyrau and Ordabasy going into this match
Atyrau record
- They have won 4 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 24 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ordabasy record
- They have won 18 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 7 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Atyrau vs Ordabasy head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | Ordabasy | Atyrau | Kazakhstan Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-03 | Ordabasy | Atyrau | Kazakhstan Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2025-05-03 | Atyrau | Ordabasy | Kazakhstan Premier League | 1-2 |
| 2024-09-15 | Ordabasy | Atyrau | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2024-03-06 | Atyrau | Ordabasy | Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2023-07-15 | Atyrau | Ordabasy | Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2023-06-03 | Ordabasy | Atyrau | Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2022-10-01 | Ordabasy | Atyrau | Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2022-07-29 | Ordabasy | Atyrau | Cup | 1-2 |
| 2022-07-22 | Atyrau | Ordabasy | Cup | 1-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Atyrau vs Ordabasy odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 14.6%, draw 23.1%, away 62.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 6.62 | 4.04 | 1.50 |
| Bet365 | 5.25 | 3.90 | 1.50 |
| Betano | 5.80 | 3.95 | 1.50 |
| Betfair | 6.50 | 4.00 | 1.44 |
| Marathonbet | 6.30 | 3.84 | 1.43 |
| Pinnacle | 6.38 | 3.88 | 1.45 |
| SBO | 5.51 | 3.72 | 1.43 |
| William Hill | 6.00 | 3.60 | 1.44 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .