Kazakhstan Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 27

Kyzyl-Zhar vs Kaisar

1 – 1 Full time

23′S. Bukorac
47′E. Kaldybekov
54′S. BahokenY. Pertsukh
61′R. BagdatN. Agzambaev
62′I. EzekielAgostinho
64′L. Latifi
74′E. KaldybekovS. Zhumabekov
74′B. KonlimkosGustavo Zago
74′A. KenesbekB. Tazhibay
80′A. AbikenG. Valgushev
83′A. Cheredinov
85′Agostinho

Karasai Stadium, PetropavlReferee: A. Kuchma

Kyzyl-Zhar 43%
Draw 28%
Kaisar 29%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Kyzyl-Zhar vs Kaisar overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Kyzyl-Zhar vs Kaisar

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKyzyl-ZharDrawKaisar
Model35.7%29.4%34.9%
Market45.2%28.0%26.8%
Final42.8%28.3%28.8%
Edge-9.5%+1.4%+8.1%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Kyzyl-Zhar ↓ / Kaisar → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 9% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 73%
3+ goals 46%
No goals 9%

Kyzyl-Zhar and Kaisar expected goals

Kyzyl-Zhar 1.27
Kaisar 1.26

Total expected goals: 2.53

Kyzyl-Zhar and Kaisar attack and defence ratings

Kyzyl-Zhar

Attack 0.82 -18%
Defence 1.31 +31%

Kaisar

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 1.06 +6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Kyzyl-Zhar vs Kaisar: result vs prediction

Kyzyl-Zhar 1 – 1 Kaisar

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 27 fixtures

Kazakhstan Premier League

Before and after this match

Kyzyl-Zhar vs Kaisar markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Kyzyl-Zhar 42.8% 2.33 -9.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 53.6% 1.87 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.8% 1.89 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.7% 1.40 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 64.3% 1.55 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Kyzyl-Zhar42.8%
Draw28.3%
Kaisar28.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.546.4%
Under 2.553.6%
Both teams to scoreYes52.8%
No47.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.2%
12 (either side)71.7%
X2 (draw or away)57.2%
Handicap -1Kyzyl-Zhar win16.2%
Push (exactly one goal)19.4%
Loss64.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.0%
0-09.2%
1-08.9%

Kyzyl-Zhar vs Kaisar stats

Kyzyl-Zhar and Kaisar recent form

newest first
Kyzyl-Zhar LLLDDW
Kaisar WLLLLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Kyzyl-Zhar and Kaisar going into this match

league record before kick-off

Kyzyl-Zhar record

  • They have won 6 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 10 of 25 matches.

Kaisar record

  • They have won 4 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 10 of 25 matches.
  • 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Kyzyl-Zhar vs Kaisar head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Kyzyl-Zhar wins 1Draws 4Kaisar wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-04KaisarKyzyl-ZharKazakhstan Premier League0-0
2025-07-26KaisarKyzyl-ZharKazakhstan Premier League1-0
2025-04-27Kyzyl-ZharKaisarKazakhstan Premier League2-1
2025-04-12Kyzyl-ZharKaisarCup1-0
2024-11-02Kyzyl-ZharKaisarPremier League6-2
2024-03-06KaisarKyzyl-ZharPremier League0-3
2023-10-29Kyzyl-ZharKaisarPremier League0-1
2023-03-05KaisarKyzyl-ZharPremier League0-1
2022-08-14KaisarKyzyl-ZharCup3-1
2022-07-16Kyzyl-ZharKaisarCup1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Kyzyl-Zhar vs Kaisar odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 45.2%, draw 28.0%, away 26.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.08 3.36 3.49
Bet365 1.95 3.25 3.40
Betano 2.05 3.25 3.40
Betfair 2.00 3.30 3.25
Marathonbet 1.97 3.20 3.35
Pinnacle 1.99 3.21 3.44
SBO 2.00 3.04 3.11
William Hill 2.05 3.00 3.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.00 ▼ -0.19
X 3.23 ▲ +0.08
2 3.38 ▲ +0.17

7 snapshots recorded, from .