Zhenys
vs
Kyzyl-Zhar
3 – 1 Full time
| 8′ | N. Gubarev | ||
| 31′ | L. Imnadze | ||
| 35′ | S. Urosevic | ||
| 37′ | A. Sokolenko | ||
| 42′ | S. Urosevic | ||
| 46′ | A. SokolenkoA. Cheredinov | ||
| 66′ | Elder Santana | ||
| 72′ | A. FilipovicV. Naumets | ||
| 72′ | S. ZharynbetovB. Madelkhan | ||
| 74′ | L. Imnadze | ||
| 77′ | N. GubarevA. Abiken | ||
| 78′ | A. Cheredinov | ||
| 83′ | O. NoyokY. Pertsukh | ||
| 84′ | Kyzyl-Zhar | ||
| 88′ | M. Plotnikov | ||
| 90′ | Elder Santana | ||
| 90′ | S. UrosevicG. Valgushev | ||
| 90′ | J. BjartalidT. Zhienaliev | ||
| 90′ | L. ImnadzeY. Besengaliyev |
Zhenys vs Kyzyl-Zhar overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Zhenys vs Kyzyl-Zhar
| Probability | Zhenys | Draw | Kyzyl-Zhar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.1% | 28.9% | 21.0% |
| Market | 43.7% | 29.7% | 26.7% |
| Final | 45.3% | 29.5% | 25.2% |
| Edge | +6.4% | -0.8% | -5.7% |
Why Zhenys
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.47 vs 0.87.
- The market prices Zhenys below the model: +6.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Zhenys and Kyzyl-Zhar expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.35
Zhenys and Kyzyl-Zhar attack and defence ratings
Zhenys
Kyzyl-Zhar
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Zhenys vs Kyzyl-Zhar: result vs prediction
Zhenys 3 – 1 Kyzyl-Zhar
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
Before and after this match
Zhenys vs Kyzyl-Zhar markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zhenys | 45.3% | 2.21 | +6.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.9% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zhenys | 45.3% |
| Draw | 29.5% | |
| Kyzyl-Zhar | 25.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.1% |
| No | 53.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Zhenys win | 25.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.1% | |
| Loss | 50.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.5% |
| 1-0 | 12.9% | |
| 0-0 | 10.8% |
Zhenys vs Kyzyl-Zhar stats
Zhenys and Kyzyl-Zhar recent form
| Zhenys |
LLWWDL |
| Kyzyl-Zhar |
LLDDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Zhenys and Kyzyl-Zhar going into this match
Zhenys record
- They have won 7 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 24 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Kyzyl-Zhar record
- They have won 6 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 24 matches.
Zhenys vs Kyzyl-Zhar head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | Zhenys | Kyzyl-Zhar | Cup | 2-0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Kyzyl-Zhar | Zhenys | Kazakhstan Premier League | 4-0 |
| 2025-08-16 | Kyzyl-Zhar | Zhenys | Kazakhstan Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-18 | Zhenys | Kyzyl-Zhar | Kazakhstan Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2024-11-10 | Zhenys | Kyzyl-Zhar | Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2024-04-06 | Kyzyl-Zhar | Zhenys | Premier League | 4-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Zhenys vs Kyzyl-Zhar odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.3%, draw 29.2%, away 27.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.62 |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.20 | 3.30 |
| Betano | 2.12 | 3.10 | 3.40 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.25 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.16 | 3.15 | 3.05 |
| Marathonbet | 2.06 | 2.97 | 3.48 |
| Pinnacle | 2.09 | 2.90 | 3.55 |
| SBO | 2.01 | 3.01 | 3.14 |
| Superbet | 2.20 | 3.15 | 3.10 |
| Unibet | 2.02 | 3.10 | 3.15 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 2.88 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .