Irtysh
vs
Okzhetpes
2 – 1 Full time
| 17′ | Leonardo Kalil | ||
| 33′ | Leonardo Kalil | ||
| 46′ | S. MalikaydarD. Nyrkov | ||
| 56′ | B. AbdumannonovV. Sovpel | ||
| 56′ | S. UmarovV. Vomenko | ||
| 61′ | T. MukhametzhanovZ. Sultaniyazov | ||
| 72′ | O. Omirtaev | ||
| 73′ | V. VasiljevR. Atykhanov | ||
| 73′ | O. OmirtaevM. Ensebaev | ||
| 75′ | Leonardo KalilJ. Poe | ||
| 75′ | Y. ShimamuraO. A. Falaye | ||
| 77′ | N. BuribaevB. Shamshi | ||
| 90′ | D. EsimbekovL. Ramos | ||
| 90′ | B. Shamshi |
Irtysh vs Okzhetpes overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Irtysh vs Okzhetpes
| Probability | Irtysh | Draw | Okzhetpes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.2% | 26.8% | 41.0% |
| Market | 41.1% | 26.4% | 32.5% |
| Final | 38.9% | 26.5% | 34.6% |
| Edge | -9.0% | +0.5% | +8.5% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Irtysh and Okzhetpes expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.92
Irtysh and Okzhetpes attack and defence ratings
Irtysh
Okzhetpes
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Irtysh vs Okzhetpes: result vs prediction
Irtysh 2 – 1 Okzhetpes
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
Before and after this match
Irtysh vs Okzhetpes markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Irtysh | 38.9% | 2.57 | -9.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 67.8% | 1.47 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Irtysh | 38.9% |
| Draw | 26.5% | |
| Okzhetpes | 34.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.9% |
| No | 40.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Irtysh win | 14.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.3% | |
| Loss | 67.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.6% |
| 1-2 | 8.9% | |
| 2-1 | 7.8% |
Irtysh vs Okzhetpes stats
Irtysh and Okzhetpes recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Irtysh and Okzhetpes going into this match
Irtysh record
- They have won 4 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 23 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Okzhetpes record
- They have won 12 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Irtysh vs Okzhetpes head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Okzhetpes | Irtysh | Kazakhstan Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2024-03-15 | Irtysh | Okzhetpes | Cup | 1-0 |
| 2019-09-21 | Okzhetpes | Irtysh | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2019-07-06 | Irtysh | Okzhetpes | Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2019-04-27 | Okzhetpes | Irtysh | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2017-10-28 | Okzhetpes | Irtysh | Premier League | 1-2 |
| 2017-06-03 | Irtysh | Okzhetpes | Premier League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Irtysh vs Okzhetpes odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.0%, draw 26.4%, away 32.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.29 | 3.53 | 2.91 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.50 | 2.70 |
| Betano | 2.27 | 3.45 | 2.80 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.19 | 3.42 | 2.77 |
| Pinnacle | 2.19 | 3.57 | 2.72 |
| SBO | 2.17 | 3.13 | 2.56 |
| Unibet | 2.33 | 3.15 | 2.55 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.25 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .