Kaspiy
vs
Aktobe
1 – 2 Full time
| 39′ | D. Sosah | ||
| 54′ | P. Alvarez | ||
| 59′ | R. AbylaykhanK. Sylla | ||
| 59′ | I. UmaevM. Kucheriavyi | ||
| 67′ | D. TopalovE. Seydakhmet | ||
| 68′ | D. EptonA. Nabikhanov | ||
| 70′ | M. Kucheriavyi | ||
| 72′ | S. Ojo | ||
| 86′ | J. Atanasov | ||
| 87′ | B. Morgado | ||
| 90′ | J. AtanasovT. Kusyapov | ||
| 90′ | A. ShushenachevG. Zaria | ||
| 90′ | A. Nabikhanov | ||
| 90′ | E. Seydakhmet |
Kaspiy vs Aktobe overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kaspiy vs Aktobe
| Probability | Kaspiy | Draw | Aktobe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.9% | 26.6% | 36.4% |
| Market | 36.8% | 25.8% | 37.4% |
| Final | 36.8% | 26.0% | 37.2% |
| Edge | +0.1% | +0.9% | -1.0% |
Why Aktobe
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kaspiy and Aktobe expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.98
Kaspiy and Aktobe attack and defence ratings
Kaspiy
Aktobe
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Kaspiy vs Aktobe: result vs prediction
Kaspiy 1 – 2 Aktobe
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kaspiy vs Aktobe markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aktobe | 37.2% | 2.69 | -1.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.3% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kaspiy | 36.8% |
| Draw | 26.0% | |
| Aktobe | 37.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.2% |
| No | 38.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Aktobe win | 17.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.5% | |
| Loss | 63.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.4% |
| 2-1 | 8.4% | |
| 1-2 | 8.4% |
Kaspiy vs Aktobe stats
Kaspiy and Aktobe recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kaspiy and Aktobe going into this match
Kaspiy record
- They have won 7 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Aktobe record
- They have won 11 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 24 matches.
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kaspiy vs Aktobe head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Aktobe | Kaspiy | Kazakhstan Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2023-07-30 | Kaspiy | Aktobe | Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2023-05-21 | Aktobe | Kaspiy | Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2022-10-08 | Aktobe | Kaspiy | Premier League | 4-0 |
| 2022-05-08 | Kaspiy | Aktobe | Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2021-10-30 | Aktobe | Kaspiy | Premier League | 1-5 |
| 2021-03-14 | Kaspiy | Aktobe | Premier League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Kaspiy vs Aktobe odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 36.5%, draw 25.9%, away 37.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.48 | 3.80 | 2.51 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.45 | 3.45 | 2.55 |
| Betfair | 2.50 | 3.50 | 2.40 |
| Dafabet | 3.25 | 3.20 | 2.06 |
| Marathonbet | 2.38 | 3.64 | 2.41 |
| Pinnacle | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.22 |
| Superbet | 3.40 | 3.25 | 2.05 |
| Unibet | 3.20 | 3.20 | 1.97 |
| William Hill | 2.45 | 3.50 | 2.38 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .