Kazakhstan Premier League
·
Full time
·Matchday 26
Ulytau
vs
Altay
0 – 3 Full time
| 58′ | D. Dodev | ||
| 65′ | H. HaradaK. Kishi | ||
| 66′ | A. Bougnone | ||
| 68′ | E. Gorshunov | ||
| 69′ | D. StoisavljevicS. Popov | ||
| 72′ | S. Popov | ||
| 75′ | I. ChernyakA. Taubay | ||
| 75′ | D. MartinA. Akhmedov | ||
| 75′ | V. Afanasenko | ||
| 79′ | D. DodevE. Lobzhanidze | ||
| 79′ | D. MitrofanovZ. Kukeev | ||
| 81′ | E. GorshunovA. Dzhanuzakov | ||
| 85′ | D. Maulenov | ||
| 87′ | D. MaulenovR. Serikkul | ||
| 87′ | A. BougnoneK. Nursultanov | ||
| 88′ | S. Popov | ||
| 90′ | S. Ivanov |
Ulytau
49%
Draw
26%
Altay
24%
Ulytau vs Altay overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ulytau vs Altay
| Probability | Ulytau | Draw | Altay |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.4% | 26.2% | 24.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 49.4% | 26.2% | 24.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Ulytau
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.70 vs 1.14.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
79%
3+ goals
54%
No goals
7%
Ulytau and Altay expected goals
Ulytau
1.70
Altay
1.14
Total expected goals: 2.84
Ulytau and Altay attack and defence ratings
Ulytau
Attack
0.83 -17%
Defence
1.08 +8%
Altay
Attack
0.95 -5%
Defence
1.38 +38%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Ulytau vs Altay: result vs prediction
Ulytau 0 – 3 Altay
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ulytau vs Altay markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ulytau | 49.4% | 2.02 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ulytau | 49.4% |
| Draw | 26.2% | |
| Altay | 24.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.7% |
| No | 43.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ulytau win | 27.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 50.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.4% |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | |
| 1-0 | 8.8% |
Ulytau vs Altay stats
Ulytau and Altay recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ulytau and Altay going into this match
Ulytau record
- They have won 8 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 24 matches.
Altay record
- They have won 4 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 24 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ulytau vs Altay head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
3Ulytau wins
0Draws
1Altay wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | Altay | Ulytau | Cup | 4-3 |
| 2026-04-12 | Altay | Ulytau | Kazakhstan Premier League | 1-2 |
| 2024-08-22 | Altay | Ulytau | 1. Division | 0-4 |
| 2024-07-04 | Ulytau | Altay | 1. Division | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.