Kazakhstan Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 26

Kaisar vs Atyrau

1 – 0 Full time

31′S. Bukorac
46′A. AbdullaK. Dorofeev
46′E. KaldybekovN. Cuckic
68′R. BagdatA. Mukhammed
71′M. StanicA. Boranshiev
72′D. PantelicA. Seytkaliev
78′A. KenesbekB. Tazhibay
78′S. BukoracS. Zhumabekov
78′K. Kalmuratov
83′N. Cuckic
85′B. KonlimkosT. Redzhepov
90′A. Mukhammed
90′A. Mukhammed
90′A. Mukhammed
90′F. Prce
90′N. Cuckic

Kaysar Arena, KyzylordaReferee: A. Zatula

Kaisar 41%
Draw 30%
Atyrau 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Kaisar vs Atyrau overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Kaisar vs Atyrau

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKaisarDrawAtyrau
Model42.3%30.5%27.2%
Market40.4%29.3%30.3%
Final40.9%29.6%29.5%
Edge+1.9%+1.2%-3.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Kaisar

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.31 vs 1.00.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Kaisar ↓ / Atyrau → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 9% 1 12% 14% 2 9% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 68%
3+ goals 41%
No goals 11%

Kaisar and Atyrau expected goals

Kaisar 1.31
Atyrau 1.00

Total expected goals: 2.31

Kaisar and Atyrau attack and defence ratings

Kaisar

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 1.20 +20%

Atyrau

Attack 0.75 -25%
Defence 1.05 +5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Kaisar vs Atyrau: result vs prediction

Kaisar 1 – 0 Atyrau

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 26 fixtures

Kazakhstan Premier League

Before and after this match

Kaisar vs Atyrau markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Kaisar 40.9% 2.45 +1.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 59.4% 1.68 — —
Both teams to score No 52.6% 1.90 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 70.5% 1.42 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.6% 1.74 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Kaisar40.9%
Draw29.6%
Atyrau29.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.540.6%
Under 2.559.4%
Both teams to scoreYes47.4%
No52.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)70.5%
12 (either side)70.4%
X2 (draw or away)59.1%
Handicap -1Kaisar win20.1%
Push (exactly one goal)22.3%
Loss57.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.3%
1-011.7%
0-011.2%

Kaisar vs Atyrau stats

Kaisar and Atyrau recent form

newest first
Kaisar LLLLDD
Atyrau WLLDDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Kaisar and Atyrau going into this match

league record before kick-off

Kaisar record

  • They have won 3 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 10 of 24 matches.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Atyrau record

  • They have won 4 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 23 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 23 matches.
  • 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Kaisar vs Atyrau head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Kaisar wins 5Draws 3Atyrau wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-11AtyrauKaisarKazakhstan Premier League2-0
2025-08-23KaisarAtyrauKazakhstan Premier League0-0
2025-05-25AtyrauKaisarKazakhstan Premier League1-2
2024-08-03AtyrauKaisarPremier League2-2
2024-04-20KaisarAtyrauPremier League1-1
2023-10-22KaisarAtyrauPremier League1-0
2023-03-10AtyrauKaisarPremier League2-1
2021-06-28AtyrauKaisarPremier League1-1
2021-04-18KaisarAtyrauPremier League1-1
2019-10-25KaisarAtyrauPremier League0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Kaisar vs Atyrau odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 40.2%, draw 29.2%, away 30.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.31 3.17 3.17
Bet365 2.25 3.10 2.88
Betano 2.25 3.20 3.00
Betfair 2.20 3.10 3.00
Dafabet 2.30 3.10 2.85
Marathonbet 2.21 3.04 3.04
SBO 2.15 2.95 2.87
Superbet 2.35 3.15 2.90
Unibet 2.23 3.05 2.80
William Hill 2.25 2.90 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.25 ▼ -0.30
X 3.10 —
2 3.00 ▲ +0.28

9 snapshots recorded, from .