Kyzyl-Zhar
vs
Atyrau
0 – 1 Full time
| 14′ | Egor Khatkevich | ||
| 46′ | T. MuldinovJ. Bjartalid | ||
| 46′ | A. CheredinovA. Sokolenko | ||
| 66′ | Y. TrufanovK. Dorofeev | ||
| 66′ | S. SatanovE. Khvalko | ||
| 73′ | S. BahokenY. Pertsukh | ||
| 79′ | E. MakarenkoA. Abiken | ||
| 81′ | D. PantelicA. Seytkaliev | ||
| 86′ | Nedeljko Piščević | ||
| 86′ | M. StanicA. Boranshiev | ||
| 87′ | M. Rabiu | ||
| 90′ | Egor Khvalko |
Kyzyl-Zhar vs Atyrau overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kyzyl-Zhar vs Atyrau
| Probability | Kyzyl-Zhar | Draw | Atyrau |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.2% | 28.2% | 25.6% |
| Market | 44.7% | 28.8% | 26.6% |
| Final | 45.1% | 28.6% | 26.3% |
| Edge | +1.5% | -0.5% | -1.0% |
Why Kyzyl-Zhar
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.51 vs 1.07.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kyzyl-Zhar and Atyrau expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.58
Kyzyl-Zhar and Atyrau attack and defence ratings
Kyzyl-Zhar
Atyrau
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Kyzyl-Zhar vs Atyrau: result vs prediction
Kyzyl-Zhar 0 – 1 Atyrau
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 25 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kyzyl-Zhar vs Atyrau markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kyzyl-Zhar | 45.1% | 2.22 | +1.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.5% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.2% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kyzyl-Zhar | 45.1% |
| Draw | 28.6% | |
| Atyrau | 26.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.2% |
| No | 47.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kyzyl-Zhar win | 23.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.3% | |
| Loss | 53.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.5% |
| 1-0 | 10.3% | |
| 2-1 | 9.2% |
Kyzyl-Zhar vs Atyrau stats
Kyzyl-Zhar and Atyrau recent form
| Kyzyl-Zhar |
LDDWWD |
| Atyrau |
LLDDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kyzyl-Zhar and Atyrau going into this match
Kyzyl-Zhar record
- They have won 6 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 24 matches.
Atyrau record
- They have won 4 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 23 matches.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kyzyl-Zhar vs Atyrau head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Atyrau | Kyzyl-Zhar | Kazakhstan Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2025-07-20 | Kyzyl-Zhar | Atyrau | Kazakhstan Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2025-04-19 | Atyrau | Kyzyl-Zhar | Kazakhstan Premier League | 1-2 |
| 2024-10-20 | Kyzyl-Zhar | Atyrau | Premier League | 3-2 |
| 2024-04-27 | Atyrau | Kyzyl-Zhar | Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2023-09-16 | Atyrau | Kyzyl-Zhar | Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2023-04-08 | Kyzyl-Zhar | Atyrau | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2022-10-15 | Kyzyl-Zhar | Atyrau | Premier League | 3-1 |
| 2022-05-14 | Atyrau | Kyzyl-Zhar | Premier League | 3-3 |
| 2021-10-24 | Atyrau | Kyzyl-Zhar | Premier League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Kyzyl-Zhar vs Atyrau odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.3%, draw 28.6%, away 28.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.11 | 3.27 | 3.52 |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.20 | 3.25 |
| Betano | 2.20 | 3.20 | 3.10 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.10 |
| Dafabet | 2.14 | 3.25 | 3.10 |
| Marathonbet | 2.02 | 3.14 | 3.38 |
| Pinnacle | 2.02 | 3.14 | 3.43 |
| Superbet | 2.17 | 3.25 | 3.10 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.00 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .