Kaspiy
vs
Kairat Almaty
0 – 3 Full time
| 4′ | O. Baybek | ||
| 21′ | Erkin Tapalov | ||
| 44′ | Edmilson | ||
| 46′ | E. KadyrbaevA. Baydavletov | ||
| 55′ | B. KabylanI. Umaev | ||
| 60′ | EdmilsonI. Bekbolat | ||
| 61′ | N. NdombasiT. Kurbanov | ||
| 61′ | A. Mrynskiy | ||
| 68′ | E. TapalovA. Tuyakbaev | ||
| 79′ | M. SerikbayA. Armenov | ||
| 80′ | O. BaybekLucas Africo | ||
| 80′ | M. GualD. Kasabulat | ||
| 80′ | G. MendonsaJ. Oksanen | ||
| 83′ | Timur Kurbanov |
Kaspiy vs Kairat Almaty overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kaspiy vs Kairat Almaty
| Probability | Kaspiy | Draw | Kairat Almaty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.6% | 27.2% | 29.2% |
| Market | 14.0% | 21.4% | 64.6% |
| Final | 21.4% | 22.9% | 55.7% |
| Edge | +29.6% | +5.8% | -35.4% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kaspiy and Kairat Almaty expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.81
Kaspiy and Kairat Almaty attack and defence ratings
Kaspiy
Kairat Almaty
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Kaspiy vs Kairat Almaty: result vs prediction
Kaspiy 0 – 3 Kairat Almaty
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 25 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kaspiy vs Kairat Almaty markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kairat Almaty | 55.7% | 1.79 | -35.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 78.6% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kaspiy | 21.4% |
| Draw | 22.9% | |
| Kairat Almaty | 55.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.5% |
| No | 42.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 44.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 78.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kairat Almaty win | 12.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.4% | |
| Loss | 70.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 2-1 | 9.2% | |
| 1-0 | 8.2% |
Kaspiy vs Kairat Almaty stats
Kaspiy and Kairat Almaty recent form
| Kaspiy |
WDDLWD |
| Kairat Almaty |
WLLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kaspiy and Kairat Almaty going into this match
Kaspiy record
- They have won 7 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kairat Almaty record
- They have won 16 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 23 matches.
Kaspiy vs Kairat Almaty head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Kairat Almaty | Kaspiy | Kazakhstan Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2025-04-12 | Kairat Almaty | Kaspiy | Cup | 3-0 |
| 2023-10-01 | Kaspiy | Kairat Almaty | Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2023-03-14 | Kairat Almaty | Kaspiy | Premier League | 3-1 |
| 2022-08-27 | Kaspiy | Kairat Almaty | Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2022-04-09 | Kairat Almaty | Kaspiy | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2021-08-15 | Kaspiy | Kairat Almaty | Cup | 2-4 |
| 2021-07-17 | Kairat Almaty | Kaspiy | Cup | 0-2 |
| 2021-06-23 | Kairat Almaty | Kaspiy | Premier League | 5-1 |
| 2021-04-14 | Kaspiy | Kairat Almaty | Premier League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Kaspiy vs Kairat Almaty odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 14.2%, draw 21.7%, away 64.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 7.50 | 4.40 | 1.35 |
| 1xBet | 7.01 | 4.48 | 1.43 |
| Bet365 | 6.00 | 4.10 | 1.42 |
| Betano | 5.50 | 4.05 | 1.52 |
| Betfair | 7.50 | 4.60 | 1.30 |
| Dafabet | 6.40 | 4.10 | 1.43 |
| Marathonbet | 6.65 | 4.25 | 1.38 |
| Pinnacle | 5.89 | 4.36 | 1.41 |
| Superbet | 6.20 | 4.20 | 1.44 |
| Unibet | 5.50 | 3.75 | 1.45 |
| William Hill | 6.50 | 4.00 | 1.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .