Kazakhstan Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 21

Kairat Almaty vs Zhenys

3 – 0 Full time

20′Edmilson
45′I. Saravanja
48′Adilio
52′L. Kurgin
63′M. Gual
64′O. JukkolaE. Tapalov
65′V. NaumetsY. Besengaliyev
69′EdmilsonI. Bekbolat
74′B. MadelkhanS. Zharynbetov
75′A. Martynovich
75′A. MartynovichA. Nurgaliev
76′M. GualA. Tuyakbaev
76′G. MendonsaA. Sadybekov
81′I. SaravanjaS. Tursynbay
86′L. Mata

Almaty Central Stadium, AlmatyReferee: B. Abdullaev

Kairat Almaty 65%
Draw 21%
Zhenys 13%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Kairat Almaty vs Zhenys overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Kairat Almaty vs Zhenys

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKairat AlmatyDrawZhenys
Model48.2%29.8%22.0%
Market71.0%18.6%10.4%
Final65.3%21.4%13.3%
Edge-22.8%+11.2%+11.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Kairat Almaty

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.40 vs 0.87.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Kairat Almaty ↓ / Zhenys → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 8% 1 13% 14% 2 10% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 67%
3+ goals 40%
No goals 12%

Kairat Almaty and Zhenys expected goals

Kairat Almaty 1.40
Zhenys 0.87

Total expected goals: 2.27

Kairat Almaty and Zhenys attack and defence ratings

Kairat Almaty

Attack 1.15 +15%
Defence 0.84 -16%

Zhenys

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Kairat Almaty vs Zhenys: result vs prediction

Kairat Almaty 3 – 0 Zhenys

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 21 fixtures

Kazakhstan Premier League

Before and after this match

Kairat Almaty vs Zhenys markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Kairat Almaty 65.3% 1.53 -22.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 60.4% 1.66 — —
Both teams to score No 55.0% 1.82 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 86.7% 1.15 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 51.8% 1.93 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Kairat Almaty65.3%
Draw21.4%
Zhenys13.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.539.6%
Under 2.560.4%
Both teams to scoreYes45.0%
No55.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)86.7%
12 (either side)78.6%
X2 (draw or away)34.7%
Handicap -1Kairat Almaty win24.2%
Push (exactly one goal)24.0%
Loss51.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.8%
1-013.2%
0-011.6%

Kairat Almaty vs Zhenys stats

Kairat Almaty and Zhenys recent form

newest first
Kairat Almaty WWLLWL
Zhenys LWWDLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Kairat Almaty and Zhenys going into this match

league record before kick-off

Kairat Almaty record

  • They have won 16 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 23 matches.

Zhenys record

  • They have won 7 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 23 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 23 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).

Kairat Almaty vs Zhenys head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

4Kairat Almaty wins 1Draws 0Zhenys wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-17ZhenysKairat AlmatyKazakhstan Premier League1-2
2025-09-22Kairat AlmatyZhenysKazakhstan Premier League3-1
2025-05-09ZhenysKairat AlmatyKazakhstan Premier League1-2
2024-07-14Kairat AlmatyZhenysPremier League1-1
2024-05-12ZhenysKairat AlmatyPremier League0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Kairat Almaty vs Zhenys odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 71.0%, draw 18.6%, away 10.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.28 4.75 8.80
1xBet 1.27 5.33 10.80
888Sport 1.25 4.80 10.00
Bet365 1.30 4.75 7.50
Betano 1.31 4.90 8.25
Betfair 1.25 5.00 9.00
Dafabet 1.28 5.00 8.20
Marathonbet 1.25 4.80 9.80
Pinnacle 1.27 4.98 8.48
SBO 1.26 4.49 6.66
Superbet 1.29 5.10 7.80
William Hill 1.25 4.80 9.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.27 ▲ +0.02
X 4.85 ▼ -0.38
2 8.64 ▼ -5.36

6 snapshots recorded, from .