Kazakhstan Premier League
·
Full time
·Matchday 27
Altay
vs
Irtysh
1 – 2 Full time
| 7′ | Y. Shimamura | ||
| 13′ | N. JamborE. Gorshunov | ||
| 34′ | S. Popov | ||
| 42′ | S. Odeoyibo | ||
| 44′ | R. Yudenkov | ||
| 46′ | D. StoisavljevicE. Lobzhanidze | ||
| 46′ | N. MicevicZ. Kukeev | ||
| 52′ | D. Esimbekov | ||
| 55′ | S. Malikaydar | ||
| 61′ | R. Karimov | ||
| 68′ | D. DodevI. Dadaev | ||
| 70′ | S. Malikaydar | ||
| 70′ | S. Malikaydar | ||
| 75′ | Leonardo KalilA. Nurlan | ||
| 77′ | S. PopovD. Mitrofanov | ||
| 78′ | Y. ShimamuraM. Khalmatov | ||
| 79′ | D. EsimbekovD. Nyrkov | ||
| 90′ | T. MukhametzhanovD. Berdibek |
Altay
46%
Draw
26%
Irtysh
28%
Altay vs Irtysh overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Altay vs Irtysh
| Probability | Altay | Draw | Irtysh |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.8% | 26.5% | 27.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 45.8% | 26.5% | 27.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Altay
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.65 vs 1.24.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
80%
3+ goals
55%
No goals
7%
Altay and Irtysh expected goals
Altay
1.65
Irtysh
1.24
Total expected goals: 2.90
Altay and Irtysh attack and defence ratings
Altay
Attack
1.07 +7%
Defence
1.25 +25%
Irtysh
Attack
0.89 -11%
Defence
1.05 +5%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Altay vs Irtysh: result vs prediction
Altay 1 – 2 Irtysh
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 27 fixtures
Before and after this match
Altay vs Irtysh markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Altay | 45.8% | 2.18 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Altay | 45.8% |
| Draw | 26.5% | |
| Irtysh | 27.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.7% |
| No | 41.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Altay win | 24.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.2% | |
| Loss | 54.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.5% |
| 2-1 | 9.4% | |
| 1-0 | 8.0% |
Altay vs Irtysh stats
Altay and Irtysh recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Altay and Irtysh going into this match
Altay record
- They have won 5 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 25 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Irtysh record
- They have won 5 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 24 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Altay vs Irtysh head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
1Altay wins
1Draws
1Irtysh wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | Irtysh | Altay | Kazakhstan Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-17 | Altay | Irtysh | 1. Division | 1-1 |
| 2025-07-11 | Irtysh | Altay | 1. Division | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.