Kazakhstan Premier League
·
Full time
·Matchday 28
Kaspiy
vs
Altay
2 – 1 Full time
| 20′ | D. Epton | ||
| 22′ | D. Schmidt | ||
| 27′ | A. Nazymkhanov | ||
| 38′ | B. Morgado | ||
| 54′ | D. Stoisavljevic | ||
| 58′ | A. Nazymkhanov | ||
| 62′ | R. AbylaykhanK. Sylla | ||
| 64′ | N. MicevicZ. Kukeev | ||
| 64′ | D. StoisavljevicE. Lobzhanidze | ||
| 65′ | D. DodevS. Popov | ||
| 72′ | A. Nazymkhanov | ||
| 72′ | A. Nazymkhanov | ||
| 73′ | M. Taykenov | ||
| 75′ | I. DadaevO. Saylybaev | ||
| 76′ | D. EptonB. Kabylan | ||
| 76′ | N. NdombasiI. Umaev | ||
| 83′ | E. GorshunovS. Khizhnichenko | ||
| 89′ | D. AripovD. Nechayev | ||
| 90′ | V. Klimovich |
Kaspiy
49%
Draw
25%
Altay
26%
Kaspiy vs Altay overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kaspiy vs Altay
| Probability | Kaspiy | Draw | Altay |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.3% | 24.7% | 26.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 49.3% | 24.7% | 26.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Kaspiy
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.86 vs 1.31.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
83%
3+ goals
61%
No goals
5%
Kaspiy and Altay expected goals
Kaspiy
1.86
Altay
1.31
Total expected goals: 3.17
Kaspiy and Altay attack and defence ratings
Kaspiy
Attack
0.99 -1%
Defence
1.09 +9%
Altay
Attack
1.06 +6%
Defence
1.28 +28%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Kaspiy vs Altay: result vs prediction
Kaspiy 2 – 1 Altay
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kaspiy vs Altay markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kaspiy | 49.3% | 2.03 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kaspiy | 49.3% |
| Draw | 24.7% | |
| Altay | 26.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.6% |
| No | 37.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kaspiy win | 28.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.1% | |
| Loss | 50.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.3% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 2-0 | 7.3% |
Kaspiy vs Altay stats
Kaspiy and Altay recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kaspiy and Altay going into this match
Kaspiy record
- They have won 8 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Altay record
- They have won 5 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 26 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kaspiy vs Altay head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
3Kaspiy wins
2Draws
5Altay wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | Altay | Kaspiy | Kazakhstan Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2025-08-07 | Altay | Kaspiy | 1. Division | 5-1 |
| 2025-05-09 | Kaspiy | Altay | 1. Division | 1-2 |
| 2024-10-10 | Altay | Kaspiy | 1. Division | 0-3 |
| 2024-04-12 | Kaspiy | Altay | 1. Division | 4-1 |
| 2019-08-10 | Altay | Kaspiy | 1. Division | 0-1 |
| 2019-04-28 | Kaspiy | Altay | 1. Division | 0-0 |
| 2018-10-21 | Altay | Kaspiy | 1. Division | 3-1 |
| 2018-06-30 | Altay | Kaspiy | 1. Division | 4-1 |
| 2018-05-02 | Kaspiy | Altay | 1. Division | 0-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.