Ulytau
vs
Okzhetpes
2 – 0 Full time
| 29′ | B. Zulfikarov | ||
| 46′ | S. UmarovB. Abdumannonov | ||
| 48′ | A. Bougnone | ||
| 55′ | B. Zulfikarov | ||
| 60′ | V. SovpelS. Mukanov | ||
| 60′ | N. BuribaevZ. Mukhametkhanov | ||
| 66′ | D. Borodin | ||
| 66′ | V. VasiljevV. Vomenko | ||
| 67′ | A. BougnoneK. Nursultanov | ||
| 68′ | B. Lototskyi | ||
| 72′ | T. ZhangylyshbayE. Nurgaliyev | ||
| 73′ | B. ZulfikarovA. Smith | ||
| 73′ | A. AkhmedovI. Chernyak | ||
| 82′ | Leo Assunpcao | ||
| 86′ | B. VachiberadzeM. Chalkin | ||
| 87′ | H. HaradaR. Serikkul | ||
| 90′ | D. Martin | ||
| 90′ | V. Afanasenko | ||
| 90′ | G. Bugulov |
Ulytau vs Okzhetpes overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ulytau vs Okzhetpes
| Probability | Ulytau | Draw | Okzhetpes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.5% | 24.3% | 46.2% |
| Market | 31.2% | 25.8% | 43.0% |
| Final | 30.7% | 25.4% | 43.8% |
| Edge | -0.4% | -0.4% | +0.8% |
Why Okzhetpes
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.88 vs 1.47.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ulytau and Okzhetpes expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.35
Ulytau and Okzhetpes attack and defence ratings
Ulytau
Okzhetpes
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Ulytau vs Okzhetpes: result vs prediction
Ulytau 2 – 0 Okzhetpes
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ulytau vs Okzhetpes markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Okzhetpes | 43.8% | 2.28 | +0.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ulytau | 30.7% |
| Draw | 25.4% | |
| Okzhetpes | 43.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.3% |
| No | 33.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 56.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 69.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Okzhetpes win | 26.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.0% | |
| Loss | 53.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.7% |
| 1-2 | 9.1% | |
| 2-1 | 7.1% |
Ulytau vs Okzhetpes stats
Ulytau and Okzhetpes recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ulytau and Okzhetpes going into this match
Ulytau record
- They have won 8 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 26 matches.
Okzhetpes record
- They have won 13 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ulytau vs Okzhetpes head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Okzhetpes | Ulytau | Kazakhstan Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2025-07-19 | Okzhetpes | Ulytau | Kazakhstan Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2025-04-19 | Ulytau | Okzhetpes | Kazakhstan Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2024-08-15 | Ulytau | Okzhetpes | 1. Division | 2-0 |
| 2024-05-31 | Okzhetpes | Ulytau | 1. Division | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Ulytau vs Okzhetpes odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 31.2%, draw 25.8%, away 43.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.93 | 3.68 | 2.22 |
| Bet365 | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.05 |
| Betano | 3.00 | 3.55 | 2.10 |
| Betfair | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.10 |
| Dafabet | 2.95 | 3.45 | 2.11 |
| Marathonbet | 2.79 | 3.50 | 2.11 |
| Pinnacle | 2.93 | 3.67 | 2.04 |
| SBO | 2.85 | 3.16 | 2.06 |
| William Hill | 2.80 | 3.30 | 2.15 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
15 snapshots recorded, from .