Okzhetpes
vs
Zhenys
3 – 1 Full time
| 11′ | Elder SantanaAdilio | ||
| 23′ | I. Saravanja | ||
| 29′ | Marcinho | ||
| 51′ | I. Saravanja | ||
| 55′ | S. Tursynbay | ||
| 60′ | D. Borodin | ||
| 61′ | S. UmarovB. Abdumannonov | ||
| 61′ | O. OmirtaevT. Zhangylyshbay | ||
| 65′ | S. TursynbayP. Kpozo | ||
| 65′ | I. KuatG. Martins | ||
| 70′ | MarcinhoV. Vomenko | ||
| 70′ | N. BuribaevE. Nurgaliyev | ||
| 74′ | S. ZharynbetovB. Madelkhan | ||
| 82′ | V. SovpelS. Mukanov | ||
| 82′ | T. Zhangylyshbay | ||
| 84′ | V. Vomenko | ||
| 86′ | Adilio |
Okzhetpes vs Zhenys overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Okzhetpes vs Zhenys
| Probability | Okzhetpes | Draw | Zhenys |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.3% | 25.8% | 28.0% |
| Market | 37.2% | 29.2% | 33.6% |
| Final | 39.5% | 28.4% | 32.2% |
| Edge | +9.1% | -3.5% | -5.6% |
Why Okzhetpes
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.73 vs 1.31.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices Okzhetpes below the model: +9.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Okzhetpes and Zhenys expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.03
Okzhetpes and Zhenys attack and defence ratings
Okzhetpes
Zhenys
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Okzhetpes vs Zhenys: result vs prediction
Okzhetpes 3 – 1 Zhenys
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 27 fixtures
Before and after this match
Okzhetpes vs Zhenys markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Okzhetpes | 39.5% | 2.53 | +9.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Okzhetpes | 39.5% |
| Draw | 28.4% | |
| Zhenys | 32.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.0% |
| No | 39.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Okzhetpes win | 25.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 53.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.4% | |
| 1-0 | 7.2% |
Okzhetpes vs Zhenys stats
Okzhetpes and Zhenys recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Okzhetpes and Zhenys going into this match
Okzhetpes record
- They have won 12 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Zhenys record
- They have won 8 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 25 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Okzhetpes vs Zhenys head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-29 | Okzhetpes | Zhenys | Cup | 2-3 |
| 2026-04-05 | Zhenys | Okzhetpes | Kazakhstan Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2025-07-25 | Zhenys | Okzhetpes | Kazakhstan Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2025-04-26 | Okzhetpes | Zhenys | Kazakhstan Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2022-07-30 | Okzhetpes | Zhenys | 1. Division | 1-1 |
| 2022-04-24 | Zhenys | Okzhetpes | 1. Division | 0-3 |
| 2021-04-22 | Okzhetpes | Zhenys | Cup | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Okzhetpes vs Zhenys odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 37.2%, draw 29.2%, away 33.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.35 | 3.18 | 3.10 |
| Bet365 | 2.45 | 3.20 | 2.55 |
| Betano | 2.52 | 3.10 | 2.70 |
| Betfair | 2.40 | 3.25 | 2.63 |
| Marathonbet | 2.38 | 3.02 | 2.73 |
| Pinnacle | 2.41 | 2.89 | 2.70 |
| SBO | 2.36 | 2.98 | 2.56 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 3.00 | 2.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .