Aktobe
vs
Ulytau
2 – 2 Full time
| 17′ | A. Shushenachev | ||
| 20′ | T. Erlanov | ||
| 23′ | B. Zulfikarov | ||
| 36′ | S. Miangue | ||
| 43′ | B. Zulfikarov | ||
| 56′ | A. TaubayB. Vachiberadze | ||
| 65′ | NaniPibe | ||
| 67′ | K. KishiB. Daniyarov | ||
| 67′ | K. NursultanovR. Serikkul | ||
| 70′ | S. Ojo | ||
| 76′ | G. ZhukovG. Zaria | ||
| 85′ | D. SosahA. Aymbetov | ||
| 87′ | B. ZulfikarovI. Chernyak | ||
| 87′ | A. AkhmedovO. Nurali | ||
| 90′ | G. Zaria | ||
| 90′ | O. Nurali | ||
| 90′ | T. Erlanov |
Aktobe vs Ulytau overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Aktobe vs Ulytau
| Probability | Aktobe | Draw | Ulytau |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 66.0% | 21.4% | 12.6% |
| Market | 61.8% | 22.4% | 15.7% |
| Final | 62.9% | 22.2% | 14.9% |
| Edge | +4.1% | -1.0% | -3.1% |
Why Aktobe
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.09 vs 0.82.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Aktobe below the model: +4.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Aktobe and Ulytau expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.92
Aktobe and Ulytau attack and defence ratings
Aktobe
Ulytau
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Aktobe vs Ulytau: result vs prediction
Aktobe 2 – 2 Ulytau
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 27 fixtures
Before and after this match
Aktobe vs Ulytau markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aktobe | 62.9% | 1.59 | +4.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.1% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Aktobe win | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aktobe | 62.9% |
| Draw | 22.2% | |
| Ulytau | 14.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.0% |
| No | 50.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 37.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Aktobe win | 42.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.4% | |
| Loss | 34.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.9% |
| 1-0 | 10.4% | |
| 1-1 | 10.2% |
Aktobe vs Ulytau stats
Aktobe and Ulytau recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Aktobe and Ulytau going into this match
Aktobe record
- They have won 12 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 25 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ulytau record
- They have won 8 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 25 matches.
Aktobe vs Ulytau head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Ulytau | Aktobe | Kazakhstan Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-20 | Ulytau | Aktobe | Kazakhstan Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2025-04-26 | Aktobe | Ulytau | Kazakhstan Premier League | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Aktobe vs Ulytau odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 61.8%, draw 22.4%, away 15.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.51 | 4.14 | 6.19 |
| Bet365 | 1.48 | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| Betano | 1.50 | 4.10 | 5.50 |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.44 | 3.94 | 5.90 |
| Pinnacle | 1.47 | 4.02 | 5.65 |
| SBO | 1.44 | 3.76 | 5.42 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 3.80 | 5.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .