Kyzyl-Zhar
vs
Ulytau
Garuda Lions Prediction: Kyzyl-Zhar
1 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Kyzyl-Zhar is the favourite, not a value bet.
Kyzyl-Zhar vs Ulytau overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kyzyl-Zhar vs Ulytau
| Probability | Kyzyl-Zhar | Draw | Ulytau |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.3% | 29.4% | 29.3% |
| Market | 58.9% | 24.6% | 16.4% |
| Final | 54.5% | 25.8% | 19.6% |
| Edge | -4.4% | +1.2% | +3.2% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.05, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +11.8% per unit staked (our 54.5% × 2.05 − 1).
Kyzyl-Zhar vs Ulytau match preview
Kyzyl-Zhar and Ulytau are set to clash in the Kazakhstan Premier League, with Kyzyl-Zhar holding a 39% probability of winning, while Ulytau stands at 31%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0 in favor of Kyzyl-Zhar, with an expected goals tally of 1.31 for Kyzyl-Zhar and 1.15 for Ulytau. Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Kyzyl-Zhar recording one win and four losses in their last six matches, while Ulytau has two wins and four losses.
In their last three encounters, Kyzyl-Zhar has one win, Ulytau has one win, and there has been one draw. The probabilities for a draw stand at 30%, and both teams to score is at 51%. With a confidence grade of C, this matchup promises to be closely contested.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kyzyl-Zhar and Ulytau expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.48
Kyzyl-Zhar and Ulytau attack and defence ratings
Kyzyl-Zhar
Ulytau
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kyzyl-Zhar vs Ulytau markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kyzyl-Zhar | 54.5% | 1.83 | -4.4% | 2.05 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.4% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kyzyl-Zhar | 54.5% |
| Draw | 25.8% | |
| Ulytau | 19.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.2% |
| No | 48.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kyzyl-Zhar win | 19.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.4% | |
| Loss | 58.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.0% |
| 1-0 | 10.2% | |
| 0-0 | 9.7% |
Kyzyl-Zhar vs Ulytau stats
Kyzyl-Zhar and Ulytau recent form
| Kyzyl-Zhar |
LWDLLL |
| Ulytau |
LWDLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kyzyl-Zhar and Ulytau season so far
Kyzyl-Zhar record
- They have won 7 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 28 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Ulytau record
- They have won 9 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 28 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kyzyl-Zhar vs Ulytau head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-16 | Ulytau | Kyzyl-Zhar | Kazakhstan Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-09 | Ulytau | Kyzyl-Zhar | Kazakhstan Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-10 | Kyzyl-Zhar | Ulytau | Kazakhstan Premier League | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Kyzyl-Zhar vs Ulytau odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 54.5%, draw 25.9%, away 19.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.56 | 3.81 | 6.31 |
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 3.70 | 5.50 |
| Betano | 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.40 |
| Betfair | 2.05 | 3.10 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 1.81 | 3.45 | 3.90 |
| Marathonbet | 1.51 | 3.64 | 5.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .