Ulytau
vs
Atyrau
Garuda Lions Prediction: Ulytau
1 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.54 vs 1.06.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Ulytau vs Atyrau overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ulytau vs Atyrau
| Probability | Ulytau | Draw | Atyrau |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.2% | 28.0% | 24.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 47.2% | 28.0% | 24.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Ulytau
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.54 vs 1.06.
Ulytau vs Atyrau match preview
Ulytau faces Atyrau in the Kazakhstan Premier League with a kickoff scheduled for October 31, 2026. According to our model, Ulytau has a 46% chance of winning, while the probability of a draw is 30% and Atyrau stands at 25%. The expected goals for Ulytau is 1.41, compared to Atyrau's 0.97, indicating a potential edge for the home side. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0, occurring at a rate of 12%.
In terms of recent form, Ulytau has recorded two losses, one win, one draw, and two additional losses in their last six matches. Atyrau, on the other hand, has a more varied recent record, with one draw, two wins, and three losses. The head-to-head encounters over the last three matches show an even split, with each team securing one win and one draw. The likelihood of both teams scoring stands at 48%, while the probability of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 42%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ulytau and Atyrau expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.59
Ulytau and Atyrau attack and defence ratings
Ulytau
Atyrau
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 30 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ulytau vs Atyrau markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ulytau | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ulytau | 47.2% |
| Draw | 28.0% | |
| Atyrau | 24.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.4% |
| No | 47.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ulytau win | 24.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.5% | |
| Loss | 52.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.4% |
| 1-0 | 10.3% | |
| 2-1 | 9.3% |
Ulytau vs Atyrau stats
Ulytau and Atyrau recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ulytau and Atyrau season so far
Ulytau record
- They have won 9 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 28 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Atyrau record
- They have won 5 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 28 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ulytau vs Atyrau head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | Atyrau | Ulytau | Kazakhstan Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Ulytau | Atyrau | Kazakhstan Premier League | 1-5 |
| 2025-06-14 | Atyrau | Ulytau | Kazakhstan Premier League | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.