Yelimay Semey
vs
Okzhetpes
Garuda Lions Prediction: Okzhetpes
1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Yelimay Semey vs Okzhetpes overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Yelimay Semey vs Okzhetpes
| Probability | Yelimay Semey | Draw | Okzhetpes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.9% | 25.4% | 38.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 35.9% | 25.4% | 38.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Yelimay Semey vs Okzhetpes match preview
Yelimay Semey faces Okzhetpes in a closely contested match, with probabilities indicating a slight edge for Okzhetpes at 38%, compared to Yelimay Semey's 36%. The expected goals are marginally in favor of Okzhetpes at 1.56, while Yelimay Semey is projected to score 1.51. Recent form shows Yelimay Semey with three wins and three losses in their last six matches, while Okzhetpes has also recorded three wins and three losses.
The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 1-2, occurring with a 9% probability. Additionally, there is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals, and both teams are expected to score with a 63% likelihood. In their last three encounters, Yelimay Semey has not secured a win against Okzhetpes, with two draws and one loss.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Yelimay Semey and Okzhetpes expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.23
Yelimay Semey and Okzhetpes attack and defence ratings
Yelimay Semey
Okzhetpes
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 30 fixtures
Before and after this match
Yelimay Semey vs Okzhetpes markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Okzhetpes | 38.7% | 2.58 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Yelimay Semey | 35.9% |
| Draw | 25.4% | |
| Okzhetpes | 38.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.1% |
| No | 34.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Okzhetpes win | 20.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.6% | |
| Loss | 61.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.4% |
| 1-2 | 8.5% | |
| 2-1 | 8.2% |
Yelimay Semey vs Okzhetpes stats
Yelimay Semey and Okzhetpes recent form
| Yelimay Semey |
DWWLWW |
| Okzhetpes |
WWLWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Yelimay Semey and Okzhetpes season so far
Yelimay Semey record
- They have won 12 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Okzhetpes record
- They have won 14 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Yelimay Semey vs Okzhetpes head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | Okzhetpes | Yelimay Semey | Kazakhstan Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-02 | Okzhetpes | Yelimay Semey | Kazakhstan Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-04 | Yelimay Semey | Okzhetpes | Kazakhstan Premier League | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.