Zhenys
vs
Kaisar
Garuda Lions Prediction: Zhenys
1 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.65 vs 1.06.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Zhenys vs Kaisar overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Zhenys vs Kaisar
| Probability | Zhenys | Draw | Kaisar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.0% | 26.9% | 23.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 50.0% | 26.9% | 23.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Zhenys
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.65 vs 1.06.
Zhenys vs Kaisar match preview
Zhenys will face Kaisar in the Kazakhstan Premier League with a predicted probability of 50% for a Zhenys win, 27% for a draw, and 23% for a Kaisar victory. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-0 in favor of Zhenys, with an expected goals tally of 1.65 for Zhenys and 1.06 for Kaisar. Both teams have struggled recently, with Zhenys recording a form of D-L-L-L-W-L and Kaisar at D-L-L-D-W-L.
In their last three head-to-head encounters, Zhenys and Kaisar have not seen a winner, with all matches ending in draws. The probability of over 2.5 goals stands at 51%, while both teams scoring is at 54%. The confidence grade for this match is rated as C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Zhenys and Kaisar expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.70
Zhenys and Kaisar attack and defence ratings
Zhenys
Kaisar
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 30 fixtures
Before and after this match
Zhenys vs Kaisar markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zhenys | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zhenys | 50.0% |
| Draw | 26.9% | |
| Kaisar | 23.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.8% |
| No | 46.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Zhenys win | 27.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.7% | |
| Loss | 50.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.8% |
| 1-0 | 9.9% | |
| 2-1 | 9.6% |
Zhenys vs Kaisar stats
Zhenys and Kaisar recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Zhenys and Kaisar season so far
Zhenys record
- They have won 8 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 28 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Kaisar record
- They have won 4 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 28 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Zhenys vs Kaisar head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | Kaisar | Zhenys | Kazakhstan Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-26 | Zhenys | Kaisar | Kazakhstan Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2025-03-02 | Kaisar | Zhenys | Kazakhstan Premier League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.