Kairat Almaty
vs
Altay
Garuda Lions Prediction: Kairat Almaty
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.20 vs 1.39.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Kairat Almaty vs Altay overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kairat Almaty vs Altay
| Probability | Kairat Almaty | Draw | Altay |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.9% | 22.0% | 23.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 54.9% | 22.0% | 23.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Kairat Almaty
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.20 vs 1.39.
Kairat Almaty vs Altay match preview
Kairat Almaty is favored to win against Altay with a probability of 56%, while both teams share a 22% chance of a draw or an Altay victory. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 2-1 in favor of Kairat Almaty, with a 10% likelihood. The model suggests a high chance of over 2.5 goals at 67%, and both teams scoring at 65%.
In terms of recent form, Kairat Almaty has recorded a mix of results with two wins and three losses in their last five matches, while Altay has two wins and three losses in their most recent outings. The expected goals for Kairat Almaty stand at 2.14, compared to Altay's 1.29, indicating a strong offensive performance anticipated from the home side.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kairat Almaty and Altay expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.59
Kairat Almaty and Altay attack and defence ratings
Kairat Almaty
Altay
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 30 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kairat Almaty vs Altay markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kairat Almaty | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.7% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kairat Almaty | 54.9% |
| Draw | 22.0% | |
| Altay | 23.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 30.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.7% |
| No | 32.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kairat Almaty win | 34.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 45.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.3% |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | |
| 3-1 | 6.8% |
Kairat Almaty vs Altay stats
Kairat Almaty and Altay recent form
| Kairat Almaty |
DLWDWL |
| Altay |
DDLLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kairat Almaty and Altay season so far
Kairat Almaty record
- They have won 19 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- They have kept 14 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 10 matches.
Altay record
- They have won 5 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 28 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kairat Almaty vs Altay head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | Altay | Kairat Almaty | Kazakhstan Premier League | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.