Zhetysu
vs
FC Astana
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Astana
0 – 1 Predicted score · 14% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.46 vs 0.78.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Zhetysu vs FC Astana overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Zhetysu vs FC Astana
| Probability | Zhetysu | Draw | FC Astana |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 18.8% | 29.1% | 52.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 18.8% | 29.1% | 52.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why FC Astana
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.46 vs 0.78.
Zhetysu vs FC Astana match preview
Zhetysu hosts FC Astana in the Kazakhstan Premier League with both teams showcasing contrasting recent forms. Zhetysu's last five matches resulted in two wins, two losses, and a draw, while FC Astana has recorded three wins, two losses, and a draw in their recent outings. According to our model, the probabilities for the match outcome are 18% for a Zhetysu win, 27% for a draw, and 54% for an FC Astana victory.
The expected goals for Zhetysu stand at 0.84, while FC Astana is projected to score 1.61. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring with a 13% probability. Additionally, there is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% likelihood that both teams will score. FC Astana has a strong historical advantage, winning all three of their last meetings against Zhetysu.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Zhetysu and FC Astana expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.24
Zhetysu and FC Astana attack and defence ratings
Zhetysu
FC Astana
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 30 fixtures
Before and after this match
Zhetysu vs FC Astana markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Astana | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.9% | 2.09 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zhetysu | 18.8% |
| Draw | 29.1% | |
| FC Astana | 52.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.9% |
| No | 57.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 47.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 81.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Astana win | 27.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.0% | |
| Loss | 47.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 14.3% |
| 1-1 | 13.3% | |
| 0-0 | 11.8% |
Zhetysu vs FC Astana stats
Zhetysu and FC Astana recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Zhetysu and FC Astana season so far
Zhetysu record
- They have won 6 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 28 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Astana record
- They have won 15 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Zhetysu vs FC Astana head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | FC Astana | Zhetysu | Kazakhstan Premier League | 4-1 |
| 2025-07-06 | Zhetysu | FC Astana | Kazakhstan Premier League | 0-2 |
| 2025-03-30 | FC Astana | Zhetysu | Kazakhstan Premier League | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.