Riga
vs
Kairat Almaty
1 – 1 Full time
| 5′ | M. Gual | ||
| 12′ | S. Oulad M'Hand | ||
| 23′ | Jaakko Oksanen | ||
| 56′ | Erkin Tapalov | ||
| 61′ | M. BadamosiReginaldo Ramires | ||
| 73′ | EdmilsonI. Bekbolat | ||
| 79′ | G. MendonsaD. Kasabulat | ||
| 79′ | A. MrynskiyA. Tuyakbaev | ||
| 86′ | M. DiopC. Saco | ||
| 86′ | R. AouaniS. L. Robalo Pedro | ||
| 90′ | Aleksandr Martynovich |
Match stats
| 18 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 64 | Possession % | 36 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Offsides | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 7 |
| 540 | Accurate passes | 271 |
Riga vs Kairat Almaty overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Riga vs Kairat Almaty
| Probability | Riga | Draw | Kairat Almaty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 58.1% | 25.6% | 16.3% |
| Market | 49.2% | 27.3% | 23.5% |
| Final | 51.4% | 26.9% | 21.7% |
| Edge | +2.2% | -0.4% | -1.8% |
Why Riga
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.74 vs 0.82.
- The market prices Riga below our published probability: +2.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Riga and Kairat Almaty expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.55
Riga and Kairat Almaty attack and defence ratings
Riga
Kairat Almaty
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Riga vs Kairat Almaty: result vs prediction
Riga 1 – 1 Kairat Almaty
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other League Stage - 1 fixtures
- FC Lugano v FK Crvena Zvezda — match page
- HNK Hajduk Split v Ajax — match page
- Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka
- Gent vs Aarhus — team news & stats
- Universitatea Craiova vs Getafe — team news & stats
- CSKA Sofia v Monaco — match page
- KuPS vs Trabzonspor
- Mjallby AIF v Inter Club d'Escaldes — match page
Before and after this match
Riga vs Kairat Almaty markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Riga | 51.4% | 1.95 | +2.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 41.9% | 2.39 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Riga | 51.4% |
| Draw | 26.9% | |
| Kairat Almaty | 21.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.1% |
| No | 52.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Riga win | 33.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.5% | |
| Loss | 41.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 12.4% |
| 1-1 | 12.2% | |
| 2-0 | 11.7% |
Riga vs Kairat Almaty stats
Riga and Kairat Almaty recent form
| Riga |
WWWDDL |
| Kairat Almaty |
WLLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Riga and Kairat Almaty going into this match
Riga record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Riga vs Kairat Almaty head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Riga vs Kairat Almaty odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.2%, draw 27.3%, away 23.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.95 | 3.55 | 4.13 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 3.50 | 4.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.90 | 3.40 | 3.90 |
| Betano | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.95 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.30 | 4.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.96 | 3.50 | 4.10 |
| Marathonbet | 1.88 | 3.42 | 3.98 |
| Pinnacle | 1.92 | 3.49 | 4.28 |
| SBO | 1.95 | 3.18 | 3.57 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.25 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .