Tukums
vs
Riga
0 – 2 Full time
| 8′ | K. Volkovs | ||
| 9′ | Reginaldo Ramires | ||
| 11′ | D. Valmiers | ||
| 25′ | K. Dislers | ||
| 30′ | A. Ankrah | ||
| 45′ | A. Salazar | ||
| 46′ | Caio FerreiraR. Aouani | ||
| 46′ | D. ValmiersR. Melkis | ||
| 54′ | R. Deruzinskis | ||
| 59′ | Reginaldo RamiresM. Badamosi | ||
| 62′ | M. Badamosi | ||
| 67′ | J. TobaH. Joksts | ||
| 67′ | M. StalsK. Shigema | ||
| 71′ | M. TonisevsR. Jurkovskis | ||
| 71′ | A. AnkrahC. Saco | ||
| 77′ | K. KlavinsE. Sprukts | ||
| 80′ | S. Oulad M'Hand | ||
| 82′ | S. Oulad M'HandA. Taiwo | ||
| 86′ | M. DerkachD. Kaira | ||
| 90′ | Iago Siqueira |
Tukums vs Riga overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Tukums vs Riga
| Probability | Tukums | Draw | Riga |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 17.1% | 23.7% | 59.2% |
| Market | 8.4% | 14.2% | 77.4% |
| Final | 10.5% | 16.6% | 72.9% |
| Edge | +2.2% | +2.4% | -4.6% |
Why Riga
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 0.96.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Tukums and Riga expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.89
Tukums and Riga attack and defence ratings
Tukums
Riga
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Tukums vs Riga: result vs prediction
Tukums 0 – 2 Riga
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 32 fixtures
Before and after this match
Tukums vs Riga markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Riga | 72.9% | 1.37 | -4.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 89.5% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 40.8% | 2.45 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tukums | 10.5% |
| Draw | 16.6% | |
| Riga | 72.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.7% |
| No | 46.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 27.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 83.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 89.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Riga win | 36.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.2% | |
| Loss | 40.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.3% |
| 0-2 | 10.4% | |
| 1-2 | 9.9% |
Tukums vs Riga stats
Tukums and Riga recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Tukums and Riga going into this match
Tukums record
- They have won 5 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 31 matches.
Riga record
- They have won 22 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 2.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Tukums vs Riga head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Riga | Tukums | Virsliga | 3-1 |
| 2026-05-20 | Tukums | Riga | Virsliga | 1-3 |
| 2026-04-09 | Riga | Tukums | Virsliga | 3-3 |
| 2025-10-24 | Riga | Tukums | Virsliga | 0-0 |
| 2025-08-03 | Tukums | Riga | Virsliga | 0-1 |
| 2025-07-12 | Riga | Tukums | Cup | 4-0 |
| 2025-05-31 | Riga | Tukums | Virsliga | 3-0 |
| 2025-04-13 | Tukums | Riga | Virsliga | 0-3 |
| 2024-10-27 | Riga | Tukums | Virsliga | 10-1 |
| 2024-08-04 | Tukums | Riga | Virsliga | 0-5 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Tukums vs Riga odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 8.4%, draw 14.2%, away 77.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 11.20 | 6.45 | 1.14 |
| Bet365 | 9.50 | 7.00 | 1.20 |
| BetVictor | 12.00 | 7.00 | 1.17 |
| Betano | 8.75 | 5.80 | 1.21 |
| Betfair | 11.00 | 6.50 | 1.15 |
| Dafabet | 11.00 | 7.00 | 1.19 |
| Marathonbet | 11.25 | 6.45 | 1.14 |
| Pinnacle | 9.87 | 6.97 | 1.20 |
| William Hill | 11.00 | 6.00 | 1.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .