FS Jelgava
vs
Riga
0 – 1 Full time
| 23′ | M. Tonisevs | ||
| 29′ | Iago Siqueira | ||
| 32′ | B. Musah | ||
| 47′ | K. Alekseiciks | ||
| 63′ | Iago Siqueira | ||
| 67′ | R. AouaniCaio Ferreira | ||
| 68′ | G. Zaleiko | ||
| 71′ | J. Novikovs | ||
| 73′ | T. RatajG. Patika | ||
| 73′ | R. MelkisR. Becers | ||
| 79′ | J. Novikovs | ||
| 82′ | F. HasekE. Smaukstelis | ||
| 83′ | M. PudilA. Dreimanis | ||
| 83′ | M. HasekA. Petersons | ||
| 83′ | S. Oulad M'HandS. L. Robalo Pedro | ||
| 90′ | M. BadamosiA. Taiwo |
FS Jelgava vs Riga overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FS Jelgava vs Riga
| Probability | FS Jelgava | Draw | Riga |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.6% | 27.8% | 37.6% |
| Market | 11.3% | 17.7% | 71.0% |
| Final | 17.1% | 20.2% | 62.7% |
| Edge | +23.3% | +10.1% | -33.4% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FS Jelgava and Riga expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.78
FS Jelgava and Riga attack and defence ratings
FS Jelgava
Riga
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
FS Jelgava vs Riga: result vs prediction
FS Jelgava 0 – 1 Riga
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 31 fixtures
Before and after this match
FS Jelgava vs Riga markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Riga | 62.7% | 1.60 | -33.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FS Jelgava | 17.1% |
| Draw | 20.2% | |
| Riga | 62.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.4% |
| No | 42.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 37.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 82.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Riga win | 18.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.4% | |
| Loss | 62.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.2% |
| 1-2 | 8.5% | |
| 2-1 | 8.1% |
FS Jelgava vs Riga stats
FS Jelgava and Riga recent form
| FS Jelgava |
DLWWLL |
| Riga |
WDDLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FS Jelgava and Riga going into this match
FS Jelgava record
- They have won 8 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 14 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
Riga record
- They have won 21 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 2.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FS Jelgava vs Riga head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | Riga | FS Jelgava | Virsliga | 3-0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Riga | FS Jelgava | Virsliga | 2-2 |
| 2026-04-04 | FS Jelgava | Riga | Virsliga | 0-8 |
| 2025-09-21 | FS Jelgava | Riga | Virsliga | 2-3 |
| 2025-07-01 | Riga | FS Jelgava | Virsliga | 3-0 |
| 2025-05-10 | Riga | FS Jelgava | Virsliga | 2-0 |
| 2025-03-15 | FS Jelgava | Riga | Virsliga | 1-1 |
| 2024-10-05 | FS Jelgava | Riga | Virsliga | 0-2 |
| 2024-07-19 | Riga | FS Jelgava | Virsliga | 6-1 |
| 2024-05-19 | FS Jelgava | Riga | Virsliga | 1-5 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FS Jelgava vs Riga odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 11.3%, draw 17.7%, away 71.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 8.35 | 5.10 | 1.26 |
| Bet365 | 7.00 | 5.25 | 1.28 |
| Betano | 7.10 | 4.90 | 1.31 |
| Betfair | 8.50 | 5.00 | 1.25 |
| Marathonbet | 7.90 | 5.10 | 1.25 |
| Pinnacle | 8.07 | 5.58 | 1.29 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .