Grobiņa
vs
FS Jelgava
0 – 0 Full time
| 27′ | I. Tyshchenko | ||
| 28′ | J. Ribeiro | ||
| 46′ | I. TyshchenkoO. Olatunde-Matthew | ||
| 51′ | G. PatikaT. Rataj | ||
| 72′ | A. Puzirevskis | ||
| 72′ | J. RibeiroG. Kluskins | ||
| 76′ | K. Alekseiciks | ||
| 84′ | F. HasekE. Smaukstelis | ||
| 84′ | R. MelkisR. Becers | ||
| 88′ | A. BaydalA. Aruna | ||
| 88′ | O. Olatunde-Matthew |
Grobiņa vs FS Jelgava overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Grobiņa vs FS Jelgava
| Probability | Grobiņa | Draw | FS Jelgava |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 21.7% | 27.1% | 51.2% |
| Market | 38.4% | 28.8% | 32.9% |
| Final | 34.2% | 28.3% | 37.4% |
| Edge | -16.7% | -1.7% | +18.4% |
Why FS Jelgava
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.63 vs 0.99.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices FS Jelgava below the model: +18.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Grobiņa and FS Jelgava expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.61
Grobiņa and FS Jelgava attack and defence ratings
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Grobiņa vs FS Jelgava: result vs prediction
Grobiņa 0 – 0 FS Jelgava
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 30 fixtures
Before and after this match
Grobiņa vs FS Jelgava markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FS Jelgava | 37.4% | 2.67 | +18.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.7% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.8% | 2.05 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Grobiņa | 34.2% |
| Draw | 28.3% | |
| FS Jelgava | 37.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.6% |
| No | 48.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | FS Jelgava win | 28.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.3% | |
| Loss | 48.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 0-1 | 10.8% | |
| 0-2 | 9.7% |
Grobiņa vs FS Jelgava stats
Grobiņa and FS Jelgava recent form
| Grobiņa |
LWLLLD |
| FS Jelgava |
LWWLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Grobiņa and FS Jelgava going into this match
Grobiņa record
- They have won 5 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 14 of 29 matches.
FS Jelgava record
- They have won 8 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Grobiņa vs FS Jelgava head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-29 | FS Jelgava | Grobiņa | Virsliga | 2-0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Grobiņa | FS Jelgava | Virsliga | 0-0 |
| 2026-03-21 | FS Jelgava | Grobiņa | Virsliga | 0-1 |
| 2025-08-29 | Grobiņa | FS Jelgava | Virsliga | 3-2 |
| 2025-06-22 | FS Jelgava | Grobiņa | Virsliga | 0-1 |
| 2025-04-29 | FS Jelgava | Grobiņa | Virsliga | 1-0 |
| 2025-03-06 | Grobiņa | FS Jelgava | Virsliga | 1-1 |
| 2024-11-09 | FS Jelgava | Grobiņa | Virsliga | 2-0 |
| 2024-08-23 | Grobiņa | FS Jelgava | Virsliga | 2-3 |
| 2024-06-16 | Grobiņa | FS Jelgava | Virsliga | 4-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Grobiņa vs FS Jelgava odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 38.2%, draw 28.3%, away 33.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.36 | 3.12 | 2.80 |
| Bet365 | 2.40 | 3.20 | 2.62 |
| Betano | 2.37 | 3.15 | 2.70 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.30 | 2.75 |
| Dafabet | 2.60 | 3.35 | 2.39 |
| Marathonbet | 2.34 | 3.12 | 2.74 |
| Pinnacle | 2.37 | 3.29 | 2.83 |
| SBO | 2.30 | 3.02 | 2.61 |
| Superbet | 2.62 | 3.25 | 2.40 |
| Unibet | 2.70 | 3.30 | 2.28 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.00 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .