BFC Daugavpils
vs
Rīgas FS
1 – 2 Full time
| 16′ | A. Traore | ||
| 19′ | N. BarkovskisW. Mukwelle | ||
| 32′ | Z. Ouled-Haj-M'hand | ||
| 46′ | S. KumaterD. Lemajic | ||
| 46′ | A. BaldeL. Odisharia | ||
| 46′ | S. RakicM. Saidy | ||
| 65′ | A. FilipovicZ. Lipuscek | ||
| 71′ | J. IkaunieksM. Kigurs | ||
| 77′ | D. KivindaD. Ayebadiepreye | ||
| 83′ | J. YakubuD. Cucurs | ||
| 84′ | R. Savalnieks | ||
| 90′ | Z. Lipuscek | ||
| 90′ | R. Skrebels | ||
| 90′ | S. Panic |
BFC Daugavpils vs Rīgas FS overview
Garuda Lions analysis: BFC Daugavpils vs Rīgas FS
| Probability | BFC Daugavpils | Draw | Rīgas FS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.8% | 33.8% | 33.4% |
| Market | 11.4% | 18.3% | 70.3% |
| Final | 16.8% | 22.2% | 61.1% |
| Edge | +21.4% | +15.5% | -36.9% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
BFC Daugavpils and Rīgas FS expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.98
BFC Daugavpils and Rīgas FS attack and defence ratings
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
BFC Daugavpils vs Rīgas FS: result vs prediction
BFC Daugavpils 1 – 2 Rīgas FS
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 30 fixtures
Before and after this match
BFC Daugavpils vs Rīgas FS markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rīgas FS | 61.1% | 1.64 | -36.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 83.2% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 66.6% | 1.50 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | BFC Daugavpils | 16.8% |
| Draw | 22.2% | |
| Rīgas FS | 61.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 31.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 68.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.8% |
| No | 59.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 38.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 83.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Rīgas FS win | 13.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.3% | |
| Loss | 66.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 15.2% |
| 1-1 | 14.9% | |
| 0-1 | 12.4% |
BFC Daugavpils vs Rīgas FS stats
BFC Daugavpils and Rīgas FS recent form
| BFC Daugavpils |
DLDWWL |
| Rīgas FS |
DWDLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
BFC Daugavpils and Rīgas FS going into this match
BFC Daugavpils record
- They have won 10 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Rīgas FS record
- They have won 22 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.9 on the road.
- They have kept 15 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 8 matches.
- They have converted 8 of 9 penalties (89%).
BFC Daugavpils vs Rīgas FS head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | Rīgas FS | BFC Daugavpils | Virsliga | 3-1 |
| 2026-05-13 | BFC Daugavpils | Rīgas FS | Virsliga | 0-1 |
| 2026-03-21 | Rīgas FS | BFC Daugavpils | Virsliga | 4-1 |
| 2026-02-28 | Rīgas FS | BFC Daugavpils | Friendlies Clubs | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-21 | Rīgas FS | BFC Daugavpils | Virsliga | 5-1 |
| 2025-06-30 | BFC Daugavpils | Rīgas FS | Virsliga | 1-7 |
| 2025-05-09 | Rīgas FS | BFC Daugavpils | Virsliga | 5-1 |
| 2025-03-15 | BFC Daugavpils | Rīgas FS | Virsliga | 1-2 |
| 2024-10-06 | BFC Daugavpils | Rīgas FS | Virsliga | 0-3 |
| 2024-09-17 | Rīgas FS | BFC Daugavpils | Virsliga | 4-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
BFC Daugavpils vs Rīgas FS odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 11.4%, draw 18.6%, away 70.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 8.30 | 5.00 | 1.28 |
| Bet365 | 7.50 | 4.50 | 1.30 |
| BetVictor | 8.50 | 5.00 | 1.30 |
| Betano | 7.70 | 4.60 | 1.31 |
| Betfair | 8.50 | 5.00 | 1.25 |
| Marathonbet | 8.00 | 5.00 | 1.27 |
| Pinnacle | 8.27 | 5.46 | 1.29 |
| SBO | 6.18 | 4.38 | 1.30 |
| Unibet | 6.75 | 4.60 | 1.34 |
| William Hill | 8.00 | 4.80 | 1.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .