Rīgas FS
vs
FK Liepaja
0 – 0 Full time
| 8′ | V. Isajevs | ||
| 56′ | A. Ogunniyi | ||
| 64′ | CrysthyanB. Almazbekov | ||
| 68′ | Talisca | ||
| 68′ | A. BaldeM. Sylla | ||
| 78′ | A. KorobenkoE. Rodolphe | ||
| 78′ | A. HaidaraB. Melnis | ||
| 83′ | L. OdishariaS. Kumater | ||
| 83′ | M. SaidyD. Lemajic | ||
| 86′ | A. OgunniyiA. Leite | ||
| 90′ | B. Straalman |
Rīgas FS vs FK Liepaja overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Rīgas FS vs FK Liepaja
| Probability | Rīgas FS | Draw | FK Liepaja |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 67.5% | 19.1% | 13.5% |
| Market | 70.0% | 18.6% | 11.4% |
| Final | 69.4% | 18.7% | 11.9% |
| Edge | -2.6% | +0.5% | +2.1% |
Why Rīgas FS
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.44 vs 1.03.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Rīgas FS and FK Liepaja expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.47
Rīgas FS and FK Liepaja attack and defence ratings
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Rīgas FS vs FK Liepaja: result vs prediction
Rīgas FS 0 – 0 FK Liepaja
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
Before and after this match
Rīgas FS vs FK Liepaja markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rīgas FS | 69.4% | 1.44 | -2.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.3% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.1% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Rīgas FS win | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rīgas FS | 69.4% |
| Draw | 18.7% | |
| FK Liepaja | 11.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.5% |
| No | 40.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 30.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Rīgas FS win | 46.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.3% | |
| Loss | 32.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.5% |
| 2-0 | 9.3% | |
| 1-1 | 8.6% |
Rīgas FS vs FK Liepaja stats
Rīgas FS and FK Liepaja recent form
| Rīgas FS |
WDLWLD |
| FK Liepaja |
WLWWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Rīgas FS and FK Liepaja going into this match
Rīgas FS record
- They have won 22 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 1.9 on the road.
- They have kept 14 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 8 matches.
- They have converted 8 of 9 penalties (89%).
FK Liepaja record
- They have won 12 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 29 matches.
- They have converted 8 of 8 penalties (100%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Rīgas FS vs FK Liepaja head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | FK Liepaja | Rīgas FS | Virsliga | 0-2 |
| 2026-05-08 | Rīgas FS | FK Liepaja | Virsliga | 5-0 |
| 2026-03-13 | FK Liepaja | Rīgas FS | Virsliga | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-28 | FK Liepaja | Rīgas FS | Virsliga | 2-2 |
| 2025-07-04 | Rīgas FS | FK Liepaja | Virsliga | 2-1 |
| 2025-05-14 | FK Liepaja | Rīgas FS | Virsliga | 2-1 |
| 2025-03-29 | Rīgas FS | FK Liepaja | Virsliga | 4-1 |
| 2024-09-20 | Rīgas FS | FK Liepaja | Virsliga | 2-0 |
| 2024-07-01 | FK Liepaja | Rīgas FS | Virsliga | 1-3 |
| 2024-05-10 | Rīgas FS | FK Liepaja | Virsliga | 4-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Rīgas FS vs FK Liepaja odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 70.0%, draw 18.6%, away 11.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.29 | 4.90 | 8.15 |
| Bet365 | 1.33 | 4.75 | 7.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.30 | 5.25 | 8.00 |
| Betano | 1.36 | 4.50 | 6.70 |
| Betfair | 1.25 | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.28 | 4.90 | 7.80 |
| Pinnacle | 1.30 | 5.30 | 8.31 |
| Unibet | 1.37 | 4.60 | 6.10 |
| William Hill | 1.30 | 4.80 | 8.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .