Auda
vs
Grobiņa
1 – 0 Full time
| 14′ | DodoA. Puzirevskis | ||
| 19′ | Hussaini Ibrahim | ||
| 41′ | Artjoms Puzirevskis | ||
| 46′ | E. BongembaB. Pena | ||
| 50′ | Martin Jose | ||
| 58′ | Krisjanis Rupeiks | ||
| 60′ | Oskars Rubenis | ||
| 62′ | H. IbrahimM. Fofana | ||
| 63′ | O. RubenisA. Appiah | ||
| 76′ | R. Baravykas | ||
| 79′ | I. TyshchenkoG. Kluskins | ||
| 79′ | A. BaydalA. Aruna | ||
| 83′ | K. KoneS. Aranda | ||
| 83′ | W. FofanaJ. Minins | ||
| 87′ | J. RibeiroD. Dobrecovs |
Auda vs Grobiņa overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Auda vs Grobiņa
| Probability | Auda | Draw | Grobiņa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 71.7% | 19.8% | 8.5% |
| Market | 64.4% | 21.6% | 14.0% |
| Final | 66.2% | 21.2% | 12.6% |
| Edge | +7.2% | -1.8% | -5.4% |
Why Auda
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.12 vs 0.61.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Auda below the model: +7.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Auda and Grobiņa expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.72
Auda and Grobiņa attack and defence ratings
Auda
Grobiņa
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Auda vs Grobiņa: result vs prediction
Auda 1 – 0 Grobiņa
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
Before and after this match
Auda vs Grobiņa markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Auda | 66.2% | 1.51 | +7.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.4% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Auda win | 47.6% | 2.10 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Auda | 66.2% |
| Draw | 21.2% | |
| Grobiņa | 12.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.8% |
| No | 59.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 33.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Auda win | 47.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.1% | |
| Loss | 28.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 14.7% |
| 1-0 | 13.1% | |
| 3-0 | 10.4% |
Auda vs Grobiņa stats
Auda and Grobiņa recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Auda and Grobiņa going into this match
Auda record
- They have won 17 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Grobiņa record
- They have won 5 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 14 of 29 matches.
Auda vs Grobiņa head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Auda | Grobiņa | Cup | 3-2 |
| 2026-06-25 | Grobiņa | Auda | Virsliga | 0-0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Auda | Grobiņa | Virsliga | 7-0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Grobiņa | Auda | Virsliga | 0-2 |
| 2025-11-09 | Grobiņa | Auda | Virsliga | 2-2 |
| 2025-08-24 | Auda | Grobiņa | Virsliga | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-06 | Auda | Grobiņa | Cup | 1-0 |
| 2025-06-18 | Grobiņa | Auda | Virsliga | 1-2 |
| 2025-04-24 | Auda | Grobiņa | Virsliga | 2-0 |
| 2024-09-22 | Auda | Grobiņa | Virsliga | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Auda vs Grobiņa odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 64.1%, draw 21.8%, away 14.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.40 | 4.20 | 6.72 |
| Bet365 | 1.42 | 4.10 | 5.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 4.40 | 7.00 |
| Betano | 1.45 | 4.10 | 5.70 |
| Betfair | 1.30 | 4.60 | 7.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.43 | 4.20 | 6.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.39 | 4.20 | 6.45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.44 | 4.38 | 6.52 |
| Unibet | 1.43 | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 3.90 | 6.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .