Virsliga · Full time ·Matchday 30

Riga vs Auda

2 – 2 Full time

38′S. Oulad M'Hand
42′Paulo EduardoA. Cernomordijs
51′Y. Traore
54′W. FofanaE. Daskevics
54′J. GeroldJ. Minins
56′R. Kragliks
64′M. DiopCaio Ferreira
64′Iago SiqueiraO. Galo
66′Caio Ferreira
71′B. DiedhiouB. Pena
71′M. FofanaS. Koume
76′A. Appiah
80′A. Salazar
81′M. BadamosiReginaldo Ramires
81′O. RubenisA. Ogunji
81′A. SalazarM. Tonisevs
90′A. Appiah
90′D. Zanetti

Skonto stadions, RigaReferee: A. Treimanis

Riga 62%
Draw 22%
Auda 16%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Riga vs Auda overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Riga vs Auda

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRigaDrawAuda
Model43.4%28.7%27.9%
Market68.8%19.2%12.1%
Final62.4%21.6%16.0%
Edge-25.3%+9.5%+15.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Riga

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.45 vs 1.12.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Riga ↓ / Auda → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 7% 1 10% 14% 7% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 47%
No goals 9%

Riga and Auda expected goals

Riga 1.45
Auda 1.12

Total expected goals: 2.56

Riga and Auda attack and defence ratings

Riga

Attack 1.34 +34%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Auda

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 0.65 -35%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Riga vs Auda: result vs prediction

Riga 2 – 2 Auda

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 30 fixtures

Virsliga

Before and after this match

Riga vs Auda markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Riga 62.4% 1.60 -25.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 52.8% 1.89 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.7% 1.90 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 84.0% 1.19 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 56.6% 1.77 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Riga62.4%
Draw21.6%
Auda16.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.547.2%
Under 2.552.8%
Both teams to scoreYes52.7%
No47.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)84.0%
12 (either side)78.4%
X2 (draw or away)37.6%
Handicap -1Riga win21.7%
Push (exactly one goal)21.7%
Loss56.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.7%
1-09.9%
2-19.0%

Riga vs Auda stats

Riga and Auda recent form

newest first
Riga DLWDDD
Auda WDWWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Riga and Auda going into this match

league record before kick-off

Riga record

  • They have won 20 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 2.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Auda record

  • They have won 17 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 12 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 28 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
  • 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Riga vs Auda head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

7Riga wins 2Draws 1Auda wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-29AudaRigaVirsliga0-2
2026-05-12RigaAudaVirsliga4-1
2026-03-20AudaRigaVirsliga1-2
2026-02-17RigaAudaSuper Cup4-1
2025-10-29RigaAudaCup1-2
2025-09-13RigaAudaVirsliga6-0
2025-06-27AudaRigaVirsliga1-3
2025-05-05AudaRigaVirsliga1-3
2025-03-10RigaAudaVirsliga2-2
2024-09-14AudaRigaVirsliga2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Riga vs Auda odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 62.7%, draw 20.9%, away 16.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.57 3.95 4.80
1xBet 1.32 4.70 7.60
Bet365 1.33 4.75 6.25
BetVictor 1.33 4.80 8.00
Betano 1.62 3.75 4.40
Betfair 1.57 4.10 4.60
Dafabet 1.62 4.00 4.70
Marathonbet 1.30 4.75 7.50
Pinnacle 1.31 5.00 8.64
Superbet 1.60 3.85 4.40
Unibet 1.58 3.85 4.40
William Hill 1.33 4.60 7.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.33 ▼ -0.26
X 4.75 ▲ +0.83
2 7.55 ▲ +3.00

8 snapshots recorded, from .