Auda
vs
Ogre United
1 – 0 Full time
| 12′ | E. Daskevics | ||
| 30′ | M. Ouedraogo | ||
| 51′ | M. KalninsM. Ivulans | ||
| 53′ | A. Doroshenko | ||
| 62′ | I. PulisJ. Fokam | ||
| 62′ | K. CudarsV. Mashchenko | ||
| 69′ | H. IbrahimJ. Minins | ||
| 69′ | W. FofanaM. Fofana | ||
| 74′ | L. Estevez FernandezE. Evelons | ||
| 74′ | A. DoroshenkoA. Marchuk | ||
| 76′ | E. DaskevicsJ. Gerold | ||
| 76′ | B. DiedhiouA. Appiah | ||
| 76′ | K. KoneM. Fofana | ||
| 82′ | V. Mashchenko | ||
| 90′ | E. Bongemba | ||
| 90′ | J. Minins | ||
| 90′ | A. Kudelkins |
Auda vs Ogre United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Auda vs Ogre United
| Probability | Auda | Draw | Ogre United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 76.0% | 15.9% | 8.1% |
| Market | 70.5% | 18.0% | 11.5% |
| Final | 71.9% | 17.5% | 10.7% |
| Edge | +5.5% | -2.1% | -3.4% |
Why Auda
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.63 vs 0.78.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Auda below the model: +5.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Auda and Ogre United expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.41
Auda and Ogre United attack and defence ratings
Auda
Ogre United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Auda vs Ogre United: result vs prediction
Auda 1 – 0 Ogre United
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 25 fixtures
Before and after this match
Auda vs Ogre United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Auda | 71.9% | 1.39 | +5.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.3% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Auda win | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Auda | 71.9% |
| Draw | 17.5% | |
| Ogre United | 10.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.1% |
| No | 48.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 28.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Auda win | 55.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 24.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.4% |
| 3-0 | 10.0% | |
| 2-1 | 8.9% |
Auda vs Ogre United stats
Auda and Ogre United recent form
| Auda |
DWDWWL |
| Ogre United |
DLLLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Auda and Ogre United going into this match
Auda record
- They have won 17 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ogre United record
- They have won 3 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 29 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
Auda vs Ogre United head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | Auda | Ogre United | Virsliga | 2-0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Ogre United | Auda | Virsliga | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Auda vs Ogre United odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 70.5%, draw 18.0%, away 11.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.26 | 5.15 | 8.25 |
| Bet365 | 1.30 | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.29 | 5.25 | 8.50 |
| Betano | 1.31 | 4.85 | 7.10 |
| Betfair | 1.25 | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.25 | 5.15 | 7.80 |
| Pinnacle | 1.31 | 5.45 | 7.84 |
| William Hill | 1.30 | 4.80 | 7.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .