Virsliga · Full time ·Matchday 31

Auda vs Rīgas FS

1 – 1 Full time

20′E. DaskevicsW. Fofana
21′K. Kone
43′R. Ndjiki
45′L. Odisharia
45′B. Diedhiou
47′R. Savalnieks
58′Y. TraoreA. Ogunji
59′O. RubenisT. Hrvoj
59′D. BalodisH. Ibrahim
68′H. Prenga
80′A. KouadioD. Lemajic
82′T. Hrvoj
85′S. Panic

Skonto stadions, RigaReferee: A. Kenins

Auda 23%
Draw 25%
Rīgas FS 51%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Auda vs Rīgas FS overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Auda vs Rīgas FS

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAudaDrawRīgas FS
Model36.7%31.3%32.0%
Market19.0%23.4%57.6%
Final23.4%25.4%51.2%
Edge+17.7%+7.9%-25.5%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Auda ↓ / Rīgas FS → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 10% 1 11% 15% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 67%
3+ goals 39%
No goals 12%

Auda and Rīgas FS expected goals

Auda 1.18
Rīgas FS 1.08

Total expected goals: 2.26

Auda and Rīgas FS attack and defence ratings

Auda

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 0.67 -33%

Rīgas FS

Attack 1.28 +28%
Defence 0.76 -24%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Auda vs Rīgas FS: result vs prediction

Auda 1 – 1 Rīgas FS

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 31 fixtures

Virsliga

Before and after this match

Auda vs Rīgas FS markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Rīgas FS 51.2% 1.95 -25.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 60.6% 1.65 — —
Both teams to score No 52.9% 1.89 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 76.6% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 68.0% 1.47 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Auda23.4%
Draw25.4%
Rīgas FS51.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.539.4%
Under 2.560.6%
Both teams to scoreYes47.1%
No52.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)48.8%
12 (either side)74.6%
X2 (draw or away)76.6%
Handicap -1Rīgas FS win13.1%
Push (exactly one goal)18.9%
Loss68.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.6%
0-011.8%
1-010.9%

Auda vs Rīgas FS stats

Auda and Rīgas FS recent form

newest first
Auda WDWDWW
Rīgas FS WDWDLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Auda and Rīgas FS going into this match

league record before kick-off

Auda record

  • They have won 18 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 13 clean sheets in 30 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 30 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
  • 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Rīgas FS record

  • They have won 23 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
  • They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.9 on the road.
  • They have kept 15 clean sheets in 29 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 8 matches.
  • They have converted 9 of 10 penalties (90%).

Auda vs Rīgas FS head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Auda wins 1Draws 6Rīgas FS wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-04Rīgas FSAudaVirsliga1-1
2026-05-17AudaRīgas FSVirsliga0-3
2026-04-04Rīgas FSAudaVirsliga0-1
2025-09-17Rīgas FSAudaCup0-2
2025-08-31AudaRīgas FSVirsliga0-1
2025-06-22Rīgas FSAudaVirsliga1-0
2025-05-01Rīgas FSAudaVirsliga1-0
2025-03-05AudaRīgas FSVirsliga1-2
2024-10-30Rīgas FSAudaCup4-2
2024-10-17Rīgas FSAudaVirsliga1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Auda vs Rīgas FS odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 19.0%, draw 23.4%, away 57.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 4.86 3.86 1.55
Bet365 4.75 3.90 1.55
BetVictor 5.00 4.10 1.55
Betano 4.45 3.85 1.60
Betfair 4.60 3.90 1.60
Marathonbet 4.75 3.86 1.53
Pinnacle 5.04 4.13 1.57
SBO 3.98 3.53 1.62
William Hill 4.60 3.70 1.62

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.75 ▲ +0.62
X 3.86 ▲ +0.06
2 1.57 ▼ -0.14

9 snapshots recorded, from .