Rīgas FS
vs
FS Jelgava
4 – 2 Full time
| 28′ | F. Hasek | ||
| 33′ | G. Zaleiko | ||
| 45′ | G. Patika | ||
| 46′ | A. KouadioD. Lemajic | ||
| 47′ | F. Hasek | ||
| 55′ | D. Lemajic | ||
| 56′ | M. SaidyM. Kigurs | ||
| 62′ | A. Kangars | ||
| 62′ | S. Panic | ||
| 64′ | D. Lemajic | ||
| 69′ | G. PatikaA. Deklavs | ||
| 74′ | A. Filipovic | ||
| 77′ | R. BecersR. Melkis | ||
| 77′ | E. SmaukstelisM. Pudil | ||
| 80′ | S. Panic | ||
| 81′ | R. Ndjiki | ||
| 85′ | L. OdishariaA. Balde | ||
| 85′ | G. ZaleikoK. Bernans | ||
| 85′ | K. AlekseiciksG. Kacanovs | ||
| 90′ | J. IkaunieksN. Dusalijevs | ||
| 90′ | R. NdjikiD. Korac |
Rīgas FS vs FS Jelgava overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Rīgas FS vs FS Jelgava
| Probability | Rīgas FS | Draw | FS Jelgava |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.1% | 26.2% | 16.6% |
| Market | 82.0% | 12.2% | 5.7% |
| Final | 75.8% | 15.7% | 8.5% |
| Edge | -6.2% | +3.5% | +2.7% |
Why Rīgas FS
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.68 vs 0.81.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Rīgas FS and FS Jelgava expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.49
Rīgas FS and FS Jelgava attack and defence ratings
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Rīgas FS vs FS Jelgava: result vs prediction
Rīgas FS 4 – 2 FS Jelgava
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 32 fixtures
Before and after this match
Rīgas FS vs FS Jelgava markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rīgas FS | 75.8% | 1.32 | -6.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.5% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.9% | 2.33 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rīgas FS | 75.8% |
| Draw | 15.7% | |
| FS Jelgava | 8.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.3% |
| No | 53.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 84.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 24.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Rīgas FS win | 32.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.7% | |
| Loss | 42.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 12.8% |
| 1-1 | 12.4% | |
| 2-0 | 11.7% |
Rīgas FS vs FS Jelgava stats
Rīgas FS and FS Jelgava recent form
| Rīgas FS |
DWDWDL |
| FS Jelgava |
LDLWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Rīgas FS and FS Jelgava going into this match
Rīgas FS record
- They have won 23 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- They have kept 15 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 8 matches.
- They have converted 9 of 10 penalties (90%).
FS Jelgava record
- They have won 8 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 15 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
Rīgas FS vs FS Jelgava head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | FS Jelgava | Rīgas FS | Virsliga | 0-1 |
| 2026-07-12 | Rīgas FS | FS Jelgava | Cup | 2-0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Rīgas FS | FS Jelgava | Virsliga | 4-0 |
| 2026-04-08 | FS Jelgava | Rīgas FS | Virsliga | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-13 | Rīgas FS | FS Jelgava | Virsliga | 1-4 |
| 2025-07-12 | FS Jelgava | Rīgas FS | Cup | 0-1 |
| 2025-06-26 | FS Jelgava | Rīgas FS | Virsliga | 0-1 |
| 2025-05-05 | FS Jelgava | Rīgas FS | Virsliga | 2-2 |
| 2025-03-11 | Rīgas FS | FS Jelgava | Virsliga | 1-0 |
| 2024-09-30 | FS Jelgava | Rīgas FS | Virsliga | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Rīgas FS vs FS Jelgava odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 82.0%, draw 12.2%, away 5.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.09 | 6.75 | 16.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.12 | 7.50 | 17.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.11 | 8.00 | 17.00 |
| Betano | 1.14 | 6.40 | 13.00 |
| Betfair | 1.08 | 8.00 | 15.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.12 | 8.00 | 16.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.09 | 6.75 | 16.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.14 | 7.87 | 14.85 |
| William Hill | 1.14 | 7.00 | 15.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .