FK Liepaja
vs
Auda
2 – 3 Full time
| 38′ | E. Oloko | ||
| 48′ | B. DiedhiouJ. Gerold | ||
| 54′ | A. Appiah | ||
| 67′ | E. BongembaW. Fofana | ||
| 69′ | B. Straalman | ||
| 77′ | E. Oloko | ||
| 80′ | O. Rubenis | ||
| 83′ | A. KorobenkoK. Iljins | ||
| 84′ | R. Kragliks | ||
| 86′ | A. AppiahM. Fofana | ||
| 86′ | H. IbrahimJ. Minins | ||
| 86′ | O. RubenisA. Ogunji | ||
| 88′ | D. PatijcuksB. Melnis | ||
| 90′ | J. Gerold | ||
| 90′ | E. Daskevics |
FK Liepaja vs Auda overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FK Liepaja vs Auda
| Probability | FK Liepaja | Draw | Auda |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.9% | 32.9% | 32.2% |
| Market | 42.5% | 25.5% | 32.0% |
| Final | 40.6% | 27.3% | 32.0% |
| Edge | -1.9% | +1.9% | +0.1% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FK Liepaja and Auda expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.07
FK Liepaja and Auda attack and defence ratings
FK Liepaja
Auda
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
FK Liepaja vs Auda: result vs prediction
FK Liepaja 2 – 3 Auda
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 32 fixtures
Before and after this match
FK Liepaja vs Auda markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FK Liepaja | 40.6% | 2.46 | -1.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.7% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FK Liepaja | 40.6% |
| Draw | 27.3% | |
| Auda | 32.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 65.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.0% |
| No | 57.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | FK Liepaja win | 14.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 65.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.9% |
| 0-0 | 13.9% | |
| 1-0 | 12.0% |
FK Liepaja vs Auda stats
FK Liepaja and Auda recent form
| FK Liepaja |
DDDWLW |
| Auda |
DWDWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FK Liepaja and Auda going into this match
FK Liepaja record
- They have won 12 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 31 matches.
- They have converted 10 of 10 penalties (100%).
Auda record
- They have won 18 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FK Liepaja vs Auda head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Auda | FK Liepaja | Virsliga | 1-0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Auda | FK Liepaja | Cup | 1-0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Auda | FK Liepaja | Virsliga | 3-1 |
| 2026-04-08 | FK Liepaja | Auda | Virsliga | 1-2 |
| 2025-10-20 | Auda | FK Liepaja | Virsliga | 1-2 |
| 2025-07-27 | FK Liepaja | Auda | Virsliga | 2-0 |
| 2025-05-24 | FK Liepaja | Auda | Virsliga | 0-0 |
| 2025-04-09 | Auda | FK Liepaja | Virsliga | 3-0 |
| 2024-10-05 | FK Liepaja | Auda | Virsliga | 2-1 |
| 2024-09-25 | Auda | FK Liepaja | Cup | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FK Liepaja vs Auda odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.5%, draw 25.5%, away 32.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.12 | 3.54 | 2.82 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.70 | 2.80 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.15 | 3.40 | 2.82 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.50 | 2.80 |
| Dafabet | 2.12 | 3.65 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.10 | 3.54 | 2.75 |
| Pinnacle | 2.16 | 3.75 | 2.86 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.40 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .