BFC Daugavpils
vs
Auda
Garuda Lions Prediction: Auda
0 β 1 Predicted score Β· 12% model probability
BFC Daugavpils vs Auda overview
Garuda Lions analysis: BFC Daugavpils vs Auda
| Probability | BFC Daugavpils | Draw | Auda |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.9% | 34.5% | 29.6% |
| Market | 27.7% | 25.6% | 46.7% |
| Final | 29.7% | 27.8% | 42.4% |
| Edge | +8.2% | +8.9% | -17.1% |
Why Auda
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.98, recorded β the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
BFC Daugavpils vs Auda match preview
BFC Daugavpils faces Auda in an upcoming Virsliga match, with probabilities indicating a 30% chance of a home win for Daugavpils, a 28% likelihood of a draw, and a 43% chance for Auda to secure the victory. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 0-1, occurring at a 12% probability. Expected goals for Daugavpils stand at 1.00, while Auda's expected goals are slightly lower at 0.89.
In terms of recent form, BFC Daugavpils has recorded one win, two draws, and three losses in their last six matches. Conversely, Auda has shown stronger performance with three wins and three draws in their recent outings. Historically, in the last seven encounters, Daugavpils has won four times, while Auda has claimed two victories, indicating a competitive matchup ahead.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
BFC Daugavpils and Auda expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.89
BFC Daugavpils and Auda attack and defence ratings
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 33 fixtures
Before and after this match
BFC Daugavpils vs Auda markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Auda | 42.4% | 2.36 | -17.1% | 1.98 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 70.6% | 1.42 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.4% | 1.63 | β | β |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.2% | 1.39 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 70.4% | 1.42 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | BFC Daugavpils | 29.7% |
| Draw | 27.8% | |
| Auda | 42.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 29.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 70.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38.6% |
| No | 61.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Auda win | 10.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.0% | |
| Loss | 70.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 16.4% |
| 1-1 | 14.8% | |
| 1-0 | 13.8% |
BFC Daugavpils vs Auda stats
BFC Daugavpils and Auda recent form
| BFC Daugavpils |
WDLDLD |
| Auda |
WDWDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
BFC Daugavpils and Auda season so far
BFC Daugavpils record
- They have won 10 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Auda record
- They have won 18 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
BFC Daugavpils vs Auda head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Auda | BFC Daugavpils | Virsliga | 1-0 |
| 2026-05-26 | BFC Daugavpils | Auda | Virsliga | 0-1 |
| 2026-04-12 | Auda | BFC Daugavpils | Virsliga | 2-3 |
| 2025-10-05 | BFC Daugavpils | Auda | Virsliga | 1-0 |
| 2025-07-20 | Auda | BFC Daugavpils | Virsliga | 1-3 |
| 2025-05-20 | Auda | BFC Daugavpils | Virsliga | 1-1 |
| 2025-04-04 | BFC Daugavpils | Auda | Virsliga | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
BFC Daugavpils vs Auda odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 27.5%, draw 25.7%, away 46.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.30 | 3.48 | 1.93 |
| Bet365 | 3.20 | 3.50 | 1.90 |
| Betano | 3.25 | 3.40 | 1.98 |
| Betfair | 3.25 | 3.60 | 1.91 |
| Marathonbet | 3.22 | 3.48 | 1.91 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .