Ulytau
vs
Zhetysu
3 – 0 Full time
Ulytau vs Zhetysu overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ulytau vs Zhetysu
| Probability | Ulytau | Draw | Zhetysu |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.1% | 28.6% | 21.3% |
| Market | 48.6% | 29.6% | 21.8% |
| Final | 49.0% | 29.3% | 21.7% |
| Edge | +1.5% | -1.0% | -0.4% |
Why Ulytau
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.50 vs 0.90.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ulytau and Zhetysu expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.40
Ulytau and Zhetysu attack and defence ratings
Ulytau
Zhetysu
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Ulytau vs Zhetysu: result vs prediction
Ulytau 3 – 0 Zhetysu
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 24 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ulytau vs Zhetysu markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ulytau | 49.0% | 2.04 | +1.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.9% | 2.00 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ulytau | 49.0% |
| Draw | 29.3% | |
| Zhetysu | 21.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.3% |
| No | 52.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ulytau win | 26.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.9% | |
| Loss | 49.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.5% |
| 1-0 | 12.4% | |
| 0-0 | 10.3% |
Ulytau vs Zhetysu stats
Ulytau and Zhetysu recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ulytau and Zhetysu going into this match
Ulytau record
- They have won 8 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 23 matches.
Zhetysu record
- They have won 5 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 24 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ulytau vs Zhetysu head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Zhetysu | Ulytau | Kazakhstan Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2025-06-28 | Ulytau | Zhetysu | Kazakhstan Premier League | 1-2 |
| 2025-03-08 | Zhetysu | Ulytau | Kazakhstan Premier League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Ulytau vs Zhetysu odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.6%, draw 29.6%, away 21.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.96 | 3.01 | 4.51 |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 3.25 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .