Kazakhstan Premier League
·
Full time
·Matchday 24
Zhenys
vs
Altay
1 – 0 Full time
Zhenys
69%
Draw
19%
Altay
12%
Zhenys vs Altay overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Zhenys vs Altay
| Probability | Zhenys | Draw | Altay |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 68.9% | 19.0% | 12.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 68.9% | 19.0% | 12.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Zhenys
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.39 vs 0.92.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
85%
3+ goals
64%
No goals
4%
Zhenys and Altay expected goals
Zhenys
2.39
Altay
0.92
Total expected goals: 3.30
Zhenys and Altay attack and defence ratings
Zhenys
Attack
1.03 +3%
Defence
0.87 -13%
Altay
Attack
0.94 -6%
Defence
1.58 +58%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Zhenys vs Altay: result vs prediction
Zhenys 1 – 0 Altay
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 24 fixtures
Before and after this match
Zhenys vs Altay markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zhenys | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.4% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.0% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Zhenys win | 47.3% | 2.11 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zhenys | 68.9% |
| Draw | 19.0% | |
| Altay | 12.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.4% |
| No | 44.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 31.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Zhenys win | 47.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.8% | |
| Loss | 30.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 10.4% |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | |
| 1-1 | 8.9% |
Zhenys vs Altay stats
Zhenys and Altay recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Zhenys and Altay going into this match
Zhenys record
- They have won 7 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 23 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Altay record
- They have won 3 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 23 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Zhenys vs Altay head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
0Zhenys wins
1Draws
0Altay wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Altay | Zhenys | Kazakhstan Premier League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.