Dinamo Zagreb
vs
Anderlecht
Garuda Lions Prediction: Dinamo Zagreb
2 β 1 Predicted score Β· 9% model probability
Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht
| Probability | Dinamo Zagreb | Draw | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.1% | 27.4% | 30.5% |
| Market | 49.5% | 26.2% | 24.3% |
| Final | 47.7% | 26.5% | 25.8% |
| Edge | -7.4% | +1.2% | +6.2% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.96, recorded β the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht match preview
Dinamo Zagreb will host Anderlecht in the UEFA Europa League on October 15, 2026. The model indicates a 42% probability of a Dinamo Zagreb victory, while Anderlecht has a 30% chance of winning, and a draw stands at 27%. The expected goals for Dinamo Zagreb are 1.53, compared to Anderlecht's 1.27, suggesting a competitive match. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% probability.
Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Dinamo Zagreb recording a W-D-L-W-D-L streak, while Anderlecht has a W-L-W-D-W-L record. There is a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals being scored and a 58% chance that both teams will find the net during the match. The confidence grade for these probabilities is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Dinamo Zagreb and Anderlecht expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.80
Dinamo Zagreb and Anderlecht attack and defence ratings
Dinamo Zagreb
Anderlecht
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dinamo Zagreb | 47.7% | 2.10 | -7.4% | 1.96 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.0% | 1.89 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.5% | 1.74 | β | β |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.2% | 1.35 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.9% | 1.73 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dinamo Zagreb | 47.7% |
| Draw | 26.5% | |
| Anderlecht | 25.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.5% |
| No | 42.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Dinamo Zagreb win | 21.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 57.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.0% | |
| 1-0 | 8.1% |
Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht stats
Dinamo Zagreb and Anderlecht recent form
| Dinamo Zagreb |
WDLWDL |
| Anderlecht |
WLWDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Dinamo Zagreb and Anderlecht season so far
Anderlecht record
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.5%, draw 26.2%, away 24.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.91 | 3.75 | 4.16 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 3.40 | 3.90 |
| BetVictor | 1.87 | 3.50 | 3.70 |
| Betano | 1.91 | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 3.75 | 3.90 |
| Dafabet | 1.96 | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.88 | 3.70 | 4.10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.92 | 3.69 | 3.86 |
| SBO | 1.84 | 3.18 | 3.43 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.50 | 3.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .