Dinamo Zagreb
vs
Anderlecht
1 – 0 Full time
| 29′ | Niko Galesic | ||
| 35′ | Tristan Degreef | ||
| 55′ | Josip Mišić | ||
| 62′ | Iker Almena HorcajoDani Rodríguez | ||
| 62′ | Niko GalesicMoris Valincic | ||
| 65′ | Lukas AmbrosTawfik Bentayeb | ||
| 68′ | Luka StojkovicLukas Kacavenda | ||
| 73′ | Marten Winkler | ||
| 77′ | Tristan DegreefAdriano Bertaccini | ||
| 77′ | Mihajlo CvetkovicDanylo Sikan | ||
| 87′ | Mario StroeykensRomeo Amane | ||
| 87′ | Marten WinklerOliver Antman | ||
| 90′ | Dion Drena Beljo |
Match stats
| 13 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 45 | Possession % | 55 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 21 | Fouls | 13 |
| 6 | Saves | 2 |
| 416 | Accurate passes | 516 |
Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht
| Probability | Dinamo Zagreb | Draw | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.7% | 27.8% | 36.6% |
| Market | 47.2% | 26.4% | 26.4% |
| Final | 44.3% | 26.7% | 28.9% |
| Edge | -2.9% | +0.3% | +2.5% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Dinamo Zagreb and Anderlecht expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.78
Dinamo Zagreb and Anderlecht attack and defence ratings
Dinamo Zagreb
Anderlecht
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht: result vs prediction
Dinamo Zagreb 1 – 0 Anderlecht
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
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Before and after this match
Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dinamo Zagreb | 44.3% | 2.25 | -2.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dinamo Zagreb | 44.3% |
| Draw | 26.7% | |
| Anderlecht | 28.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.6% |
| No | 42.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Dinamo Zagreb win | 16.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.5% | |
| Loss | 65.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.2% |
| 1-2 | 8.4% | |
| 2-1 | 8.3% |
Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht stats
Dinamo Zagreb and Anderlecht recent form
| Dinamo Zagreb |
LWDLWD |
| Anderlecht |
WWLWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Dinamo Zagreb and Anderlecht going into this match
Anderlecht record
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-12-13 | Dinamo Zagreb | Anderlecht | UEFA Europa League | 0-0 |
| 2018-10-04 | Anderlecht | Dinamo Zagreb | UEFA Europa League | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 47.2%, draw 26.4%, away 26.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.02 | 3.73 | 3.73 |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| Betano | 2.07 | 3.65 | 3.70 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| Dafabet | 2.05 | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.99 | 3.68 | 3.68 |
| Pinnacle | 2.04 | 3.71 | 3.63 |
| SBO | 2.02 | 3.44 | 3.30 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .