HNK Hajduk Split
vs
Dinamo Zagreb
Garuda Lions Prediction: Dinamo Zagreb
1 – 2 Predicted score · 7% model probability
HNK Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb overview
Garuda Lions analysis: HNK Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb
| Probability | HNK Hajduk Split | Draw | Dinamo Zagreb |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.5% | 22.8% | 27.7% |
| Market | 31.3% | 26.2% | 42.5% |
| Final | 35.8% | 25.3% | 38.8% |
| Edge | +18.2% | -3.4% | -14.8% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.24, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
HNK Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb match preview
HNK Hajduk Split faces Dinamo Zagreb in a highly anticipated HNL matchup. The probabilities indicate a close contest, with HNK Hajduk Split at 37%, Dinamo Zagreb at 38%, and a 25% chance of a draw. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, occurring with a 7% probability. Both teams have shown offensive potential, with a 70% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
In terms of recent form, HNK Hajduk Split has recorded two wins in their last six matches, while Dinamo Zagreb has struggled, with only two wins in their last six games. The head-to-head record favors Dinamo Zagreb, who have won three of the last four encounters, with HNK Hajduk Split yet to secure a win in this stretch. The expected goals suggest a competitive match, with HNK Hajduk Split at 2.09 and Dinamo Zagreb at 1.54.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
HNK Hajduk Split and Dinamo Zagreb expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.63
HNK Hajduk Split and Dinamo Zagreb attack and defence ratings
HNK Hajduk Split
Dinamo Zagreb
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
HNK Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dinamo Zagreb | 38.8% | 2.57 | -14.8% | 2.24 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.2% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.7% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | HNK Hajduk Split | 35.8% |
| Draw | 25.3% | |
| Dinamo Zagreb | 38.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 29.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.7% |
| No | 30.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Dinamo Zagreb win | 13.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 14.5% | |
| Loss | 72.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.4% |
| 2-1 | 8.9% | |
| 2-2 | 6.9% |
HNK Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb stats
HNK Hajduk Split and Dinamo Zagreb recent form
| HNK Hajduk Split |
LWWLWW |
| Dinamo Zagreb |
WDLWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
HNK Hajduk Split and Dinamo Zagreb season so far
HNK Hajduk Split record
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Dinamo Zagreb record
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
HNK Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Dinamo Zagreb | HNK Hajduk Split | HNL | 2-0 |
| 2026-03-08 | HNK Hajduk Split | Dinamo Zagreb | HNL | 1-3 |
| 2025-12-06 | Dinamo Zagreb | HNK Hajduk Split | HNL | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-20 | HNK Hajduk Split | Dinamo Zagreb | HNL | 0-2 |
| 2025-05-03 | HNK Hajduk Split | Dinamo Zagreb | HNL | 1-3 |
| 2025-03-02 | Dinamo Zagreb | HNK Hajduk Split | HNL | 2-2 |
| 2024-12-01 | HNK Hajduk Split | Dinamo Zagreb | HNL | 1-0 |
| 2024-09-13 | Dinamo Zagreb | HNK Hajduk Split | HNL | 0-1 |
| 2024-04-03 | HNK Hajduk Split | Dinamo Zagreb | Cup | 0-1 |
| 2024-03-30 | HNK Hajduk Split | Dinamo Zagreb | HNL | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
HNK Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 31.3%, draw 26.2%, away 42.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.98 | 3.50 | 2.18 |
| Bet365 | 2.88 | 3.40 | 2.15 |
| BetVictor | 2.88 | 3.50 | 2.15 |
| Betano | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.15 |
| Betfair | 2.88 | 3.50 | 2.15 |
| Dafabet | 3.05 | 3.60 | 2.24 |
| Marathonbet | 2.96 | 3.50 | 2.16 |
| Pinnacle | 3.01 | 3.52 | 2.22 |
| SBO | 2.67 | 3.13 | 2.10 |
| William Hill | 2.90 | 3.30 | 2.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .