NK Slaven Belupo
vs
HNK Rijeka
Garuda Lions Prediction: HNK Rijeka
0 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Rijeka overview
Garuda Lions analysis: NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Rijeka
| Probability | NK Slaven Belupo | Draw | HNK Rijeka |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 20.8% | 26.1% | 53.2% |
| Market | 18.8% | 23.9% | 57.3% |
| Final | 19.3% | 24.5% | 56.3% |
| Edge | +2.0% | +2.2% | -4.1% |
Why HNK Rijeka
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.73 vs 1.00.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.65, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Rijeka match preview
In the upcoming match between NK Slaven Belupo and HNK Rijeka, the model indicates a strong likelihood of victory for HNK Rijeka at 53%, while NK Slaven Belupo has a 21% chance of winning, and a draw stands at 26%. The most probable scoreline is 0-1, with a 10% likelihood. Both teams have a 53% chance of scoring, and there is a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals in the match.
Recent form shows NK Slaven Belupo with mixed results, recording a draw, two losses, and two wins in their last five matches. In contrast, HNK Rijeka has performed more consistently, with three wins and two draws in their last five games. Head-to-head results favor HNK Rijeka, who have won two of the last four encounters, with NK Slaven Belupo yet to secure a win.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
NK Slaven Belupo and HNK Rijeka expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.73
NK Slaven Belupo and HNK Rijeka attack and defence ratings
NK Slaven Belupo
HNK Rijeka
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Rijeka markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | HNK Rijeka | 56.3% | 1.78 | -4.1% | 1.65 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 80.7% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.7% | 2.14 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | NK Slaven Belupo | 19.3% |
| Draw | 24.5% | |
| HNK Rijeka | 56.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.1% |
| No | 46.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 43.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 80.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | HNK Rijeka win | 30.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.2% | |
| Loss | 46.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.4% |
| 0-1 | 10.2% | |
| 1-2 | 9.7% |
NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Rijeka stats
NK Slaven Belupo and HNK Rijeka recent form
| NK Slaven Belupo |
DLWLWL |
| HNK Rijeka |
WDWDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
NK Slaven Belupo and HNK Rijeka season so far
NK Slaven Belupo record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
- 53% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
HNK Rijeka record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Rijeka head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | NK Slaven Belupo | HNK Rijeka | HNL | 0-2 |
| 2026-01-24 | HNK Rijeka | NK Slaven Belupo | HNL | 2-2 |
| 2025-10-18 | NK Slaven Belupo | HNK Rijeka | HNL | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-03 | HNK Rijeka | NK Slaven Belupo | HNL | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Rijeka odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 18.8%, draw 23.9%, away 57.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.88 | 3.95 | 1.61 |
| Bet365 | 5.00 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| BetVictor | 4.75 | 3.80 | 1.60 |
| Betano | 4.90 | 3.90 | 1.65 |
| Betfair | 4.75 | 3.80 | 1.60 |
| Dafabet | 5.20 | 4.10 | 1.64 |
| Marathonbet | 4.90 | 3.95 | 1.59 |
| Pinnacle | 4.94 | 3.89 | 1.63 |
| SBO | 4.29 | 3.49 | 1.55 |
| William Hill | 4.80 | 3.70 | 1.65 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .