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HNL · Full time ·Matchday 8

Rudes vs NK Slaven Belupo

2 – 2 Full time

17′Leon Bošnjak
27′Ivan Đorić
43′Cherno Saho
46′C. DiabateL. Ilecic
46′L. BanovecI. Nestorovski
54′S. El Haddad
59′D. BosakL. Crepulja
61′Marko Stolnik
63′I. DjoricV. Celjak
64′J. MersinajK. Isasegi
68′C. SahoT. Kolega
71′L. BosnjakL. Ratshukudu
75′I. Nestorovski
79′I. Nestorovski
83′XaviV. Seitz
84′S. El HaddadJ. Fernandes
89′Bruno Unušić
90′Junior Fernandes
90′Toni Kolega
90′M. Zebic

SC Rudes, ZagrebReferee: Duje Strukan, Croatia

Rudes 32%
Draw 26%
NK Slaven Belupo 42%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

9 Shots 19
3 Shots on target 3
37 Possession % 63
7 Corners 7
17 Fouls 6
0 Offsides 1
1 Saves 1
175 Accurate passes 360

Rudes vs NK Slaven Belupo overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Rudes vs NK Slaven Belupo

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRudesDrawNK Slaven Belupo
Model45.9%24.4%29.7%
Market27.6%26.8%45.6%
Final32.2%26.2%41.6%
Edge+18.3%-2.4%-15.9%

Confidence: Low

Why NK Slaven Belupo

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Rudes ↓ / NK Slaven Belu → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 11% 7% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 65%
No goals 5%

Rudes and NK Slaven Belupo expected goals

Rudes 1.86
NK Slaven Belupo 1.47

Total expected goals: 3.33

Rudes and NK Slaven Belupo attack and defence ratings

Rudes

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 1.73 +73%

NK Slaven Belupo

Attack 0.71 -29%
Defence 1.32 +32%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Rudes vs NK Slaven Belupo: result vs prediction

Rudes 2 – 2 NK Slaven Belupo

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

HNL

Before and after this match

Rudes vs NK Slaven Belupo markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 NK Slaven Belupo 41.6% 2.40 -15.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 64.7% 1.55 — —
Both teams to score Yes 66.0% 1.52 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.8% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 70.3% 1.42 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Rudes32.2%
Draw26.2%
NK Slaven Belupo41.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.564.7%
Under 2.535.3%
Both teams to scoreYes66.0%
No34.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)58.4%
12 (either side)73.8%
X2 (draw or away)67.8%
Handicap -1NK Slaven Belupo win14.0%
Push (exactly one goal)15.6%
Loss70.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.8%
2-19.1%
1-27.2%

Rudes vs NK Slaven Belupo stats

Rudes and NK Slaven Belupo recent form

newest first
Rudes LLLWLL
NK Slaven Belupo LWLWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Rudes and NK Slaven Belupo going into this match

league record before kick-off

Rudes record

  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

NK Slaven Belupo record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
  • 53% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Rudes vs NK Slaven Belupo head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Rudes wins 2Draws 7NK Slaven Belupo wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-07-23NK Slaven BelupoRudesFriendlies Clubs4-2
2024-04-12RudesNK Slaven BelupoHNL1-3
2024-02-03NK Slaven BelupoRudesHNL4-0
2023-10-31RudesNK Slaven BelupoCup3-1
2023-10-20RudesNK Slaven BelupoHNL0-0
2023-08-05NK Slaven BelupoRudesHNL3-2
2023-02-28NK Slaven BelupoRudesCup2-0
2022-01-19NK Slaven BelupoRudesFriendlies Clubs1-1
2021-11-12NK Slaven BelupoRudesFriendlies Clubs2-1
2019-05-20RudesNK Slaven BelupoHNL0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Rudes vs NK Slaven Belupo odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 27.6%, draw 26.8%, away 45.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.32 3.60 2.00
Bet365 3.30 3.40 1.95
BetVictor 3.30 3.40 2.00
Betano 3.40 3.45 2.07
Betfair 3.30 3.40 1.95
Marathonbet 3.30 3.60 1.98
Pinnacle 3.45 3.61 2.07
SBO 3.26 3.08 1.93
William Hill 3.30 3.40 2.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.30 ▼ -0.26
X 3.40 ▼ -0.20
2 2.00 ▲ +0.09

10 snapshots recorded, from .