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HNL · Full time ·Matchday 8

Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

3 – 2 Full time

11′N. Galesic
12′M. Kovacevic
26′D. Beljo
28′D. Vukovic
32′A. Triantafyllou
35′L. Kacavenda
43′F. Karacic
46′I. KaticM. Subotic
58′D. Beljo
59′N. DjurkovicM. Maric
61′D. VukovicD. Thaqi
63′L. KacavendaM. Zajc
63′L. StojkovicK. Kravtsov
64′F. Fetai
66′L. IvanusecA. Hoxha
66′P. TabinasM. Valincic
69′J. Misic
74′M. LisicaI. Almena
75′L. Belcar
79′F. FetaiM. Antunovic
82′M. Vesovic
88′D. Reic

Stadion Maksimir, ZagrebReferee: Patrik Kolarić, Croatia

Dinamo Zagreb 73%
Draw 17%
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 11%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

19 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 5
57 Possession % 43
7 Corners 4
17 Fouls 16
1 Offsides 3
3 Saves 3
368 Accurate passes 259

Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDinamo ZagrebDrawNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Model55.4%24.4%20.2%
Market78.4%14.0%7.6%
Final72.7%16.6%10.7%
Edge-23.0%+10.4%+12.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Dinamo Zagreb

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.90 vs 1.07.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Dinamo Zagreb ↓ / NK Lokomotiva → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 9% 11% 2 9% 10% 3 6% 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 81%
3+ goals 57%
No goals 6%

Dinamo Zagreb and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb expected goals

Dinamo Zagreb 1.90
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1.07

Total expected goals: 2.97

Dinamo Zagreb and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb attack and defence ratings

Dinamo Zagreb

Attack 1.29 +29%
Defence 0.96 -4%

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: result vs prediction

Dinamo Zagreb 3 – 2 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

HNL

Before and after this match

Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Dinamo Zagreb 72.7% 1.38 -23.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 57.0% 1.76 — —
Both teams to score Yes 57.0% 1.75 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 89.3% 1.12 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 44.3% 2.26 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Dinamo Zagreb72.7%
Draw16.6%
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb10.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.557.0%
Under 2.543.0%
Both teams to scoreYes57.0%
No43.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)89.3%
12 (either side)83.4%
X2 (draw or away)27.3%
Handicap -1Dinamo Zagreb win33.1%
Push (exactly one goal)22.6%
Loss44.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.5%
2-19.9%
2-09.2%

Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb stats

Dinamo Zagreb and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb recent form

newest first
Dinamo Zagreb DLWDLW
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb DLWLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Dinamo Zagreb and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb going into this match

league record before kick-off

Dinamo Zagreb record

  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Dinamo Zagreb wins 3Draws 2NK Lokomotiva Zagreb wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-23Dinamo ZagrebNK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNL0-0
2026-03-21NK Lokomotiva ZagrebDinamo ZagrebHNL0-5
2025-12-20Dinamo ZagrebNK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNL2-0
2025-10-05NK Lokomotiva ZagrebDinamo ZagrebHNL2-1
2025-05-17NK Lokomotiva ZagrebDinamo ZagrebHNL1-1
2025-03-15Dinamo ZagrebNK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNL3-0
2024-12-14NK Lokomotiva ZagrebDinamo ZagrebHNL3-1
2024-09-28Dinamo ZagrebNK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNL5-1
2024-04-21NK Lokomotiva ZagrebDinamo ZagrebHNL0-1
2024-02-10NK Lokomotiva ZagrebDinamo ZagrebHNL2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 78.4%, draw 14.0%, away 7.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.14 7.40 13.70
Bet365 1.17 6.50 12.00
BetVictor 1.14 7.00 7.00
Betano 1.21 6.50 11.25
Betfair 1.14 6.50 12.00
Marathonbet 1.14 7.40 13.75
Pinnacle 1.16 7.86 14.10
SBO 1.16 5.90 8.87
William Hill 1.18 6.50 12.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.16 ▲ +0.02
X 6.50 ▼ -0.98
2 12.00 ▼ -2.25

14 snapshots recorded, from .