HNL Football Predictions
Fixtures, model probabilities and a results-derived table for HNL — 10 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 126 goals in 40 matches (3.15 per game).
40matches · 2026/27 season
126goals
3.15avg goals / match
60fixtures in window
9with a model pick
updated
Next HNL fixtures
13.20
X3.82
22.35
Full prediction →
12.13
X3.85
23.69
Full prediction →
13.47
X3.66
22.28
Full prediction →
15.32
X4.18
21.75
Full prediction → Value picks in HNL
1
Pick: NK Osijek
Low
- Model
- 51%
- Market
- 47%
- Edge
- +4.0%
- Best odds
- 2.04
An edge is a statement about price, not about the result: a pick with a large edge still loses most of the time when its probability is low. The strongest pick that already has an analysis page leads, so a larger edge listed here may simply be waiting for its fixture to enter our publication window.
Upcoming HNL fixtures
| Time | Match | Pick | Conf. | 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 HNK Hajduk Splitv Dinamo Zagreb
|
2 | Low | 3.20 | 3.82 | 2.35 | → | |
 NK Osijekv Istra 1961
|
1 | Low | 2.13 | 3.85 | 3.69 | → | |
 NK Lokomotiva Zagrebv NK Varazdin
|
2 | Low | 3.47 | 3.66 | 2.28 | → | |
 NK Slaven Belupov HNK Rijeka
|
2 | Low | 5.32 | 4.18 | 1.75 | → | |
 RudesvHNK Rijeka
|
2 | Low | — | — | — | → | |
| NK Lokomotiva ZagrebvIstra 1961
|
1 | Low | — | — | — | ||
NK Osijekv HNK Gorica
|
1 | Low | — | — | — | ||
| HNK Hajduk SplitvNK Varazdin
|
1 | Low | — | — | — | ||
| NK Slaven BelupovDinamo Zagreb
|
2 | Low | — | — | — | ||
| NK OsijekvRudes
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Dinamo ZagrebvHNK Rijeka
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Istra 1961vHNK Hajduk Split
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| HNK GoricavNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| NK VarazdinvNK Slaven Belupo
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| HNK RijekavNK Varazdin
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| HNK Hajduk SplitvHNK Gorica
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| NK Lokomotiva ZagrebvNK Osijek
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| NK Slaven BelupovIstra 1961
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| RudesvDinamo Zagreb
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| NK OsijekvHNK Hajduk Split
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Istra 1961vHNK Rijeka
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| NK Lokomotiva ZagrebvRudes
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| HNK GoricavNK Slaven Belupo
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| NK VarazdinvDinamo Zagreb
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| HNK RijekavHNK Gorica
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| HNK Hajduk SplitvNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Dinamo ZagrebvIstra 1961
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| NK Slaven BelupovNK Osijek
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| RudesvNK Varazdin
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| HNK Hajduk SplitvRudes
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| NK OsijekvHNK Rijeka
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Istra 1961vNK Varazdin
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| NK Lokomotiva ZagrebvNK Slaven Belupo
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| HNK GoricavDinamo Zagreb
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| HNK RijekavDinamo Zagreb
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| HNK RijekavNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Dinamo ZagrebvNK Osijek
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| NK Slaven BelupovHNK Hajduk Split
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| RudesvIstra 1961
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| NK VarazdinvHNK Gorica
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| HNK Hajduk SplitvHNK Rijeka
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| NK OsijekvNK Varazdin
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| NK Lokomotiva ZagrebvDinamo Zagreb
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| NK Slaven BelupovRudes
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| HNK GoricavIstra 1961
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| HNK RijekavNK Slaven Belupo
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Dinamo ZagrebvHNK Hajduk Split
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Istra 1961vNK Osijek
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| RudesvHNK Gorica
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| NK VarazdinvNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| HNK RijekavRudes
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Dinamo ZagrebvNK Slaven Belupo
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Istra 1961vNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| HNK GoricavNK Osijek
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| NK VarazdinvHNK Hajduk Split
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| HNK RijekavDinamo Zagreb
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| HNK Hajduk SplitvIstra 1961
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| NK Lokomotiva ZagrebvHNK Gorica
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| NK Slaven BelupovNK Varazdin
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| RudesvNK Osijek
|
— | — | — | — | — |
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HNL goals per match
Mean goals in the matches played each week of the season.
HNL form table
| Team | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb |
16 | WLWDW |
| NK Osijek |
16 | DWLWL |
| NK Varazdin |
15 | DDDWL |
| HNK Rijeka |
14 | WDWDW |
| HNK Hajduk Split |
13 | LWWLW |
Ranked by points, then goal difference — computed from played results, not an imported table.
Trending HNL markets
Over 2.5 goals
65%
BTTS
52%
Home wins
60%
Draws
20%
Away wins
20%
Most common scores: 2-0 (12%), 2-2 (10%), 0-0 (8%), 1-0 (8%)
How the markets actually landed over 40 played matches, 2026/27 season — realised frequencies, not a forecast.
HNL table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Zagreb |
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 9 | +8 | 16 | WLWDW |
| 2 | NK Osijek |
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 11 | +6 | 16 | DWLWL |
| 3 | NK Varazdin |
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 15 | DDDWL |
| 4 | HNK Rijeka |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 14 | WDWDW |
| 5 | HNK Hajduk Split |
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 13 | LWWLW |
| 6 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb |
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 10 | LDLWL |
| 7 | Istra 1961 |
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | +1 | 9 | LWDDL |
| 8 | NK Slaven Belupo |
8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 7 | DLWLW |
| 9 | Rudes |
9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 7 | WDLLL |
| 10 | HNK Gorica |
9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 5 | LWDLD |
HNL recent results
| Date | Match | Result | Pick | Conf. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HNK GoricavRudes
|
1–2 | 1✗ | Low | → | |
| Dinamo ZagrebvNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
|
3–2 | 1✓ | Low | → | |
| HNK RijekavHNK Hajduk Split
|
3–0 | 1✓ | Low | → | |
| Istra 1961vHNK Gorica
|
0–1 | 1✗ | Low | → | |
| NK VarazdinvNK Osijek
|
0–0 | 1✗ | Low | → | |
| RudesvNK Slaven Belupo
|
2–2 | 2✗ | Low | → |